@BoldiOldi
#2,958,88220xa7556ee848ff1eed9ad189487de16d3affd46c5b
~8d· 18 markets · 131 tradesVol: $41,7652026-08-26 09:58:24
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
2
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
22% (4/18)0/20
0.78x (win $411 / loss $531)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.1870/15
Sortino -2.7930/10
$-0.1845 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 3193 (18 markets)0/10
3/8 profitable days (38%)1.9/10
Max DD 613% of peak ($480 / $78)0/10
Badges
1Contrarian
63% entries < $0.55
Categories
1🌤️ WEATHER#302,302$-986Vol: $41,765
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-986
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$41,765
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
18
total markets
Trades
41B / 90S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~8d
Periods
#2Month
$-986
Vol: $41,765
All Time
$-986
Vol: $41,765
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
22%
4W / 14L events
Realized PnL
$-561
Win Rate
22%
4W / 14L
Profit Factor
0.77x
Avg Win
$103
Avg Loss
$-41
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $409 (0.7293103141090741% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C or below on August 15?$250
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on August 10?$81
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 17?$78
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on August 12?$2
Top Losers
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 13?$-78
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 12?$-77
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 12?$-74
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on August 11?$-47
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on August 12?$-46
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 15?$-46
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 13?$-41
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 11?$-35
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C or higher on August 12?$-26
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 13?$-24
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.107
Sortino
-0.156
HHI
2213
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.184
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
44.2%
Top-5 markets
68.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
10.1
Active
Markets / Day
1.4
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1h
between trades
Avg Gap
2.9h
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.55
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
34
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.9
Bot Detection
#610
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 4050s — normal for humanCV 1.55 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours16/24 hours — normal schedule10 trades/day — very active1.4 markets/day — normal31% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 14:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
7.28
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)26.8%
Mid (20-55c)36.6%
High (>55c)36.6%
Sessions
#128/13/2026, 8:50:15 PM2 trades$2,0400 min
8/13/2026, 7:45:04 PM11 trades$5690 min
8/17/2026, 5:36:57 PM1 trades$1390 min
8/17/2026, 12:23:21 AM8 trades$850 min
8/10/2026, 2:09:04 PM7 trades$800 min
8/10/2026, 6:13:55 AM8 trades$760 min
8/14/2026, 8:33:04 AM2 trades$750 min
8/17/2026, 2:46:25 PM4 trades$727 min
8/14/2026, 2:26:06 PM13 trades$610 min
8/12/2026, 9:40:16 AM4 trades$570 min
8/11/2026, 7:33:43 PM2 trades$560 min
8/15/2026, 12:13:30 AM4 trades$540 min
8/12/2026, 7:54:34 AM6 trades$520 min
8/12/2026, 10:25:12 AM3 trades$500 min
8/11/2026, 12:57:13 AM4 trades$490 min
8/11/2026, 4:52:21 AM2 trades$410 min
8/14/2026, 1:32:37 PM5 trades$410 min
8/10/2026, 12:44:42 PM7 trades$341 min
8/12/2026, 11:57:00 AM2 trades$320 min
8/10/2026, 7:06:33 AM4 trades$270 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
2026-08-07 12:00:00
2026-08-10 12:00:00
2026-08-11 12:00:00
2026-08-12 12:00:00
2026-08-13 12:00:00
2026-08-14 12:00:00
2026-08-15 12:00:00
2026-08-17 12:00:00
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
68.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.28/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L26.8 / M36.6 / H36.6