@KiruaTrading
#18,454230xa7d2ec6680f4e5f6ab0da244d8006eec3e20f954
~146d· 255 markets · 4013 tradesVol: $1,191,1382026-08-02 07:20:06
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
23
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
48% (116/240)9.2/20
0.70x (win $30,144 / loss $43,334)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.6610/15
Sortino -1.8770/10
$-0.1264 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 277 (240 markets)10/10
48/108 profitable days (44%)3.6/10
Max DD 352% of peak ($18,419 / $5,229)0/10
Badges
6Profitable
PnL $+7,482
Lottery Player
32% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 15.4 entries/market
Whale
$104,348 invested
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
8🏛️ POLITICS#7,502$3,886Vol: $640,251
💰 FINANCE#653,643$-1,212Vol: $217,607
🌤️ WEATHER#822$2,361Vol: $163,197
💻 TECH#382$5,010Vol: $129,227
📈 ECONOMICS#680,055$-2,127Vol: $29,871
⚽ SPORTS#1,773,903$-337Vol: $5,450
₿ CRYPTO#1,521,947$-177Vol: $4,165
🎭 CULTURE#612,135$-3Vol: $33
Overview
#1Net PnL
$7,482
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,191,138
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
255
total markets
Trades
1914B / 2099S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~146d
Periods
#2Today
$-100
Vol: $960
Week
$2,191
Vol: $960
Month
$15
Vol: $3,171
All Time
$7,482
Vol: $1,191,138
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
48%
116W / 124L events
Realized PnL
$7,482
Win Rate
48%
116W / 124L
Profit Factor
0.7x
Avg Win
$260
Avg Loss
$-374
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $9,142 (1.2219647060238743% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?$3,879
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?$3,250
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?$2,014
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?$1,433
Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score below 1480?$1,356
Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - April 26?$1,131
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$1,037
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?$970
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$946
Will Claude 5 be released by February 14, 2026?$941
Top Losers
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1460?$-5,608
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?$-5,282
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$-4,431
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?$-2,378
Will the January 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?$-1,958
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-1,584
Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?$-1,522
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$-1,230
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?$-1,116
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?$-1,056
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.086
Sortino
-0.078
HHI
192
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.133
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.2%
Top-5 markets
22.6%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
17.9
Active
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.52
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
27.6
Bot Detection
#625
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 301s — normal for humanCV 2.52 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock18 trades/day — very active1.1 markets/day — normal44% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 21:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
15.44
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)32.3%
Mid (20-55c)35%
High (>55c)32.7%
Sessions
#124/17/2026, 4:01:56 PM80 trades$9,4220 min
5/19/2026, 5:35:53 PM33 trades$7,42410 min
5/10/2026, 12:54:03 AM17 trades$6,4501 min
4/18/2026, 11:11:46 AM41 trades$6,4293 min
4/22/2026, 9:50:28 PM64 trades$5,4371 min
5/10/2026, 1:37:12 AM9 trades$5,1204 min
5/11/2026, 4:17:34 AM50 trades$4,5010 min
5/19/2026, 6:56:38 AM40 trades$4,4581 min
12/23/2025, 1:38:35 PM3 trades$4,2502 min
4/14/2026, 9:01:06 PM94 trades$3,9171 min
5/22/2026, 10:30:03 PM23 trades$3,6144 min
6/13/2026, 5:37:25 PM73 trades$2,9829 min
4/18/2026, 11:24:22 AM34 trades$2,6972 min
5/10/2026, 12:32:51 AM12 trades$2,5177 min
6/6/2026, 2:12:40 AM57 trades$2,5072 min
7/14/2026, 12:30:05 PM25 trades$2,2916 min
4/28/2026, 12:44:48 PM32 trades$2,26514 min
6/6/2026, 7:07:15 AM72 trades$2,2220 min
5/9/2026, 11:54:35 PM7 trades$2,2060 min
6/10/2026, 11:50:58 PM19 trades$2,1020 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-22
02-07
03-21
04-29
05-28
06-27
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 93 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
52.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 15.44/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L32.3 / M35 / H32.7