@0xa9e4…b6ad

42

0xa9e486c6b197e1680e715fa2f9f0ba07d5d7b6ad

~107d· 513 markets · 1756 trades2026-09-21 19:33:51
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

42
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

44% (217/498)6.8/20
1.09x (win $3,889 / loss $3,574)3.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.5119.6/15
Sortino 1.01910/10
$+0.0189 per $1 invested0.9/10
HHI 820 (498 markets)8.4/10
34/87 profitable days (39%)2.3/10
Max DD 289% of peak ($1,282 / $443)0/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+385
Contrarian
58% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$385
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$16,662
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
513
total markets
Trades
963B / 793S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~107d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
44%
217W / 281L events
Realized PnL
$385
Win Rate
44%
217W / 281L
Profit Factor
1.09x
Avg Win
$18
Avg Loss
$-14

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,246 (5.827413538126248% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?$1,083
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?$712
US military action against Iran before July?$451
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$71
Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?$69
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?$50
Czechia vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score$41
Timberwolves vs. Kings: O/U 238.5$39
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?$38
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$35

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-852
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$-348
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-243
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$-192
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$-190
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?$-96
Will Atlético San Luis win on 2025-10-31?$-75
Texas State vs. Southern Miss$-66
Spread: Celtics (-1.5)$-64
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?$-61

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.027
Sortino
0.044
HHI
1371
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.015
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
31.1%
Top-5 markets
66.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.64
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.3

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 204s — normal for humanCV 4.64 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal18% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.83
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)19.1%
Mid (20-55c)38.7%
High (>55c)42.2%

Sessions

#12
6/20/2025, 3:55:22 PM3 trades$1,5242 min
6/20/2025, 5:38:44 AM1 trades$1,5110 min
5/22/2026, 3:06:19 AM4 trades$1,4320 min
6/18/2025, 5:59:12 PM1 trades$1,3730 min
6/7/2026, 9:42:55 PM64 trades$1,27722 min
6/18/2025, 1:36:44 PM1 trades$1,2000 min
6/18/2025, 5:10:08 PM1 trades$1,1740 min
5/18/2026, 6:55:15 PM13 trades$1,0742 min
7/19/2026, 9:04:12 AM4 trades$1,0201 min
6/18/2025, 12:29:08 PM1 trades$1,0150 min
11/22/2024, 2:22:19 PM3 trades$6667 min
6/7/2026, 10:16:37 PM43 trades$6243 min
6/10/2026, 7:08:45 PM21 trades$4937 min
6/1/2026, 4:23:25 PM6 trades$4071 min
5/31/2026, 1:09:20 PM5 trades$3350 min
6/11/2026, 11:22:52 AM6 trades$2976 min
6/1/2026, 5:59:59 AM8 trades$2555 min
11/22/2024, 9:59:15 AM1 trades$2530 min
6/19/2025, 3:05:34 PM1 trades$2360 min
6/1/2026, 5:00:54 PM2 trades$2300 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-16
11-02
11-17
12-01
01-30
06-01
06-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 222 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
45.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.83/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L19.1 / M38.7 / H42.2