@DumbOracle

#32,00364

0xa9ecc654e83991dce406032bc504ab78ae2c57d5

~220d· 227 markets · 1634 tradesVol: $257,1292026-08-04 18:58:12
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

64
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

72% (126/176)20/20
1.18x (win $6,417 / loss $5,419)4.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.63011.8/15
Sortino 0.7047/10
$+0.0064 per $1 invested0.3/10
HHI 214 (176 markets)10/10
73/101 profitable days (72%)10/10
Max DD 126% of peak ($3,251 / $2,571)0/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 72%
Profitable
PnL $+3,749
DCA Master
Avg 7.2 entries/market
Whale
$156,357 invested
Consistent
73/101 profitable days
Win Streak
17 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
71% maker orders

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#8,166$3,407Vol: $236,432
⚽ SPORTS#85,939$209Vol: $5,373
₿ CRYPTO#170,103$24Vol: $5,365
📈 ECONOMICS#577,525$-6Vol: $4,539
🎭 CULTURE#22,807$85Vol: $3,954
💻 TECH#12,071$24Vol: $240
💰 FINANCE#135,062$1Vol: $20

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$3,749
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$257,129
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
227
total markets
Trades
1163B / 471S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~220d

Periods

#2
Today
$-499
Vol: $26
Week
$-486
Vol: $200
Month
$-579
Vol: $250
All Time
$3,749
Vol: $257,129

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
72%
126W / 50L events
Realized PnL
$3,749
Win Rate
72%
126W / 50L
Profit Factor
1.18x
Avg Win
$51
Avg Loss
$-118

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,799 (0.47975047139995786% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?$930
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$499
Will Putin remain President of Russia through June?$371
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$250
Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?$241
Will Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by February 28?$212
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$179
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$164
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31?$150
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?$143

Top Losers

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$-2,527
Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?$-695
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$-366
Will Russia recognize Syrian government by March 31?$-246
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?$-229
Will Biden pardon Fauci?$-199
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?$-154
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?$-147
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?$-130
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?$-120

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.033
Sortino
0.020
HHI
89
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.010
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.8%
Top-5 markets
15.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
29.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.6h
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.73
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.6

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1770s — normal for humanCV 2.73 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal71% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.16
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)10.7%
Mid (20-55c)9.6%
High (>55c)79.7%

Sessions

#12
7/3/2026, 8:37:32 PM1 trades$7,6500 min
7/1/2026, 7:14:11 AM2 trades$7,2600 min
6/30/2026, 4:32:49 PM21 trades$6,4811 min
3/28/2025, 10:11:22 PM1 trades$3,9760 min
6/13/2026, 8:50:07 AM8 trades$3,2071 min
5/9/2026, 9:12:05 AM2 trades$2,3880 min
7/28/2026, 10:29:28 PM3 trades$2,2561 min
1/1/2025, 12:17:06 AM3 trades$2,1203 min
5/26/2026, 2:05:25 PM2 trades$2,0000 min
7/8/2026, 7:13:10 PM2 trades$2,0000 min
4/5/2026, 9:54:55 AM33 trades$1,8538 min
7/3/2025, 3:30:31 AM2 trades$1,8454 min
7/8/2026, 5:26:16 PM1 trades$1,8340 min
2/12/2025, 7:22:32 PM1 trades$1,8140 min
2/12/2025, 7:10:50 PM2 trades$1,8141 min
3/27/2026, 10:37:37 AM1 trades$1,7600 min
6/18/2026, 1:00:43 PM2 trades$1,7350 min
4/16/2026, 7:28:26 PM2 trades$1,6985 min
2/1/2025, 10:37:55 AM3 trades$1,5944 min
1/2/2026, 10:20:45 AM1 trades$1,5800 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-19
01-06
03-25
12-27
03-04
04-29
07-08

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 21 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
28.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.16/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L10.7 / M9.6 / H79.7