@mpoly

#3,188,17229

0xaa57cd0782fb4583206ce547379e6442db61a128

~253d· 7249 markets · 65323 tradesVol: $9,076,7112026-10-08 03:04:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

29
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

64% (4602/7244)16.8/20
0.80x (win $430,681 / loss $538,318)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.4460/15
Sortino -4.7120/10
$-0.0489 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 7 (7244 markets)10/10
95/248 profitable days (38%)2.1/10
Max DD 26636229% of peak ($109,209 / $0)0/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 64%
DCA Master
Avg 9.0 entries/market
Whale
$2,202,221 invested
High Roller
$3,272/day
Win Streak
20 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
₿ CRYPTO#1,737,499$-97,504Vol: $3,704,660
⚽ SPORTS#1,938,564$-31,043Vol: $1,754,621
🏛️ POLITICS#1,645,267$-2,697Vol: $95,202
🎭 CULTURE#821,369$-1,073Vol: $37,114
💻 TECH#255,501$-36Vol: $32,177
💰 FINANCE#660,632$-512Vol: $28,580
🌤️ WEATHER#2,751$469Vol: $6,728
📈 ECONOMICS#38,711$12Vol: $2,752
📢 MENTIONS#168,608$-98Vol: $2,144

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-142,300
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$9,076,711
Total Redeem
$104,451
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
7249
total markets
Trades
36248B / 29075S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~253d

Periods

#2
Today
$278
Vol: $38,394
Week
$-4,608
Vol: $542,939
Month
$-6,967
Vol: $645,089
All Time
$-142,300
Vol: $9,076,711

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
64%
4601W / 2642L events
Realized PnL
$-97,532
Win Rate
64%
4601W / 2642L
Profit Factor
0.8x
Avg Win
$94
Avg Loss
$-207

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $7,712 (0.07906882415919166% of PnL)

Top Winners

Spurs vs. Knicks$2,965
LoL: Shifters vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Season$2,617
Abidjan 2: Niels Visker vs Michael Mmoh$2,129
Golden Knights vs. Utah$2,066
Will Nithya Raman finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$1,591
Ethereum Up or Down - January 27, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$1,553
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports (BO3)$1,510

Top Losers

LoL: Leviatan Esports vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winner$-6,709
Ethereum Up or Down - January 27, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$-5,603
Timberwolves vs. Warriors$-4,960
Ethereum Up or Down - February 3, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$-4,410
Dota 2: OG vs Team Spirit (BO3)$-4,142
Ohio State vs. Indiana$-3,925
Ethereum Up or Down - January 27, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$-3,402
Knicks vs. Spurs$-3,331
Cavaliers vs. Raptors$-3,218
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes$-3,051

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.232
Sortino
-0.223
HHI
7
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.049
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.5%
Top-5 markets
1.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
97.1
Very active
Markets / Day
10.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
42s
between trades
Avg Gap
8.4m
between trades
Night Trading
36%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.39
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
46 min
Avg Trades / Session
236.6

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 42s — normal for humanCV 2.39 — diverse sizes (human-like)36% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock97 trades/day — mass trading11 markets/day — mass coverage53% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.02
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)8.8%
Mid (20-55c)31.6%
High (>55c)59.6%

Sessions

#12
1/27/2026, 7:18:05 PM658 trades$32,15749 min
1/2/2026, 11:34:37 PM697 trades$22,791102 min
1/27/2026, 1:19:55 AM683 trades$20,056123 min
1/14/2026, 5:37:02 AM252 trades$18,43846 min
1/12/2026, 10:49:57 PM415 trades$16,68485 min
1/14/2026, 3:24:24 AM388 trades$16,67099 min
10/28/2025, 11:36:09 PM389 trades$15,25275 min
2/3/2026, 10:02:02 PM396 trades$14,70430 min
2/2/2026, 10:16:12 PM254 trades$14,24028 min
1/14/2026, 8:27:58 AM275 trades$13,06447 min
1/1/2026, 4:00:13 AM301 trades$12,91188 min
1/27/2026, 12:20:23 PM536 trades$12,77444 min
6/9/2026, 9:51:06 PM802 trades$12,41865 min
1/27/2026, 10:50:19 AM330 trades$12,35929 min
11/12/2025, 5:16:20 PM280 trades$11,81987 min
12/13/2025, 12:22:00 AM409 trades$11,31462 min
5/4/2026, 10:31:26 PM172 trades$11,14922 min
1/27/2026, 8:14:23 PM29 trades$10,9227 min
1/14/2026, 9:50:48 AM29 trades$10,89832 min
6/4/2026, 10:11:52 PM169 trades$10,65725 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-06
10-29
01-12
02-28
04-15
06-07
08-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 246 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
44.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.02/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L8.8 / M31.6 / H59.6