@caiobalm

#2,682,54117

0xaa955193498664ca852e38e9e1368b5a3a245b7c

~16d· 23 markets · 51 tradesVol: $6,2262026-08-26 10:02:40
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

17
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

41% (9/22)5.5/20
0.66x (win $267 / loss $403)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.7920/15
Sortino -4.6190/10
$-0.3088 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 651 (22 markets)9.2/10
8/21 profitable days (38%)2/10
Max DD 363% of peak ($266 / $73)0/10

Badges

1
Contrarian
61% entries < $0.55

Categories

1
SPORTS#1,548,913$-34Vol: $88

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-149
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$6,226
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
23
total markets
Trades
28B / 23S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~16d

Periods

#2
Today
$5
Vol: $0
Week
$-32
Vol: $508
Month
$-77
Vol: $3,735
All Time
$-149
Vol: $6,226

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
43%
9W / 12L events
Realized PnL
$-22
Win Rate
43%
9W / 12L
Profit Factor
0.66x
Avg Win
$30
Avg Loss
$-34

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $127 (5.765696087352138% of PnL)

Top Winners

Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega$58
Valorant: VARREL vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omega$36
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)$33
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha$33
Valorant: NRG vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha$30
LoL: Kits Esports vs SDM Tigres (BO5) - LRN Playoffs$24
Rainbow Six Siege: Wildcard Gaming vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs$20
Game Handicap: LVLUP (-1.5) vs Nemiga Gaming (+1.5)$18
Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+1.5)$15

Top Losers

Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-07-26?$-60
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Play-Ins$-50
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier$-40
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)$-40
Valorant: GIANTX GC vs Twisted Minds Orchid (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage$-40
Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+1.5)$-40
Valorant: Sentinels vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega$-40
Map Handicap: M8 (-1.5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (+1.5)$-36
Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs SPARTA (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage$-30
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega$-14

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.194
Sortino
-0.356
HHI
609
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.315
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11.9%
Top-5 markets
41.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
13/24
Extended
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.1h
between trades
Avg Gap
7.7h
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.61
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
25
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.0

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 32589s — normal for humanCV 0.61 — diverse sizes (human-like)29% night trades — never sleeps13/24 hours — normal schedule2 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal55% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.27
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7.1%
Mid (20-55c)53.6%
High (>55c)39.3%

Sessions

#12
8/9/2026, 11:39:18 AM2 trades$890 min
7/18/2026, 2:42:34 PM4 trades$840 min
7/16/2026, 7:09:04 PM5 trades$720 min
7/16/2026, 11:47:55 PM3 trades$620 min
7/26/2026, 6:43:45 PM2 trades$540 min
7/16/2026, 7:01:47 PM2 trades$490 min
8/12/2026, 1:32:19 PM2 trades$440 min
8/4/2026, 12:34:47 AM3 trades$420 min
7/21/2026, 8:56:03 PM2 trades$380 min
7/23/2026, 4:57:04 PM2 trades$370 min
7/18/2026, 1:24:31 AM2 trades$360 min
7/25/2026, 1:48:27 AM2 trades$340 min
7/22/2026, 11:14:07 PM3 trades$220 min
8/11/2026, 4:30:58 AM2 trades$220 min
8/2/2026, 1:56:38 PM2 trades$190 min
7/23/2026, 11:43:37 PM2 trades$170 min
8/5/2026, 1:30:12 PM1 trades$140 min
7/24/2026, 4:29:06 PM1 trades$130 min
8/12/2026, 2:48:01 AM1 trades$130 min
8/11/2026, 2:14:25 PM2 trades$100 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
2026-07-17 03:00:00
2026-07-19 03:00:00
2026-07-23 20:00:00
2026-07-25 01:00:00
2026-08-03 06:00:00
2026-08-10 03:00:00
2026-08-12 21:00:00

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
45.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.27/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L7.1 / M53.6 / H39.3