0xbt

@0xbt

#3,161,21415

0xaadbd211bda2bc5fe28833c6cea1242aa8be85f9

~173d· 1227 markets · 8879 tradesVol: $794,5362026-10-07 22:55:22
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

15
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

36% (434/1207)3/20
0.80x (win $64,082 / loss $80,343)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.6780/15
Sortino -2.1430/10
$-0.1008 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 67 (1207 markets)10/10
60/156 profitable days (38%)2.1/10
Max DD 320% of peak ($24,347 / $7,610)0/10

Badges

4
Contrarian
77% entries < $0.55
Whale
$161,371 invested
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#13,217$1,676Vol: $353,115
₿ CRYPTO#1,698,266$-1,746Vol: $90,939
💰 FINANCE#658,794$-403Vol: $44,680
💻 TECH#1,413$1,116Vol: $28,505
🎭 CULTURE#812,772$-374Vol: $21,570
⚽ SPORTS#1,821,675$-339Vol: $15,017
📈 ECONOMICS#670,852$-86Vol: $12,142
📢 MENTIONS#170,454$-113Vol: $6,141
🌤️ WEATHER#40,140$3Vol: $500

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-6,946
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$794,536
Total Redeem
$652
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1227
total markets
Trades
3772B / 5107S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~173d

Periods

#2
Today
$-68
Vol: $0
Week
$-12
Vol: $0
Month
$-258
Vol: $4,761
All Time
$-6,946
Vol: $794,536

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
36%
434W / 772L events
Realized PnL
$-6,946
Win Rate
36%
434W / 772L
Profit Factor
0.8x
Avg Win
$148
Avg Loss
$-105

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $8,319 (1.1976132820035876% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$3,519
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$2,455
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$2,345
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$1,995
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$1,766
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$1,536
Valorant: T1 vs FULL SENSE - Map 2 Winner$1,306
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$943
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?$858
Valorant: Team Envy vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha$794

Top Losers

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$-4,688
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$-2,932
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$-1,870
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-1,386
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?$-1,360
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-1,313
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$-1,235
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?$-1,193
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffs$-1,058
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?$-1,046

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.087
Sortino
-0.094
HHI
77
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.089
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.3%
Top-5 markets
12.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
27.3
Active
Markets / Day
3.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
53.7m
between trades
Night Trading
36%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.79
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
10 min
Avg Trades / Session
70.2

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 180s — normal for humanCV 1.79 — diverse sizes (human-like)36% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock27 trades/day — high frequency3.8 markets/day — normal29% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.88
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)28%
Mid (20-55c)49.4%
High (>55c)22.7%

Sessions

#12
5/8/2026, 2:01:35 AM530 trades$12,25648 min
5/8/2026, 12:25:39 AM624 trades$11,15169 min
5/8/2026, 2:55:41 AM529 trades$10,14348 min
5/8/2026, 3:50:49 AM455 trades$9,29151 min
4/7/2026, 10:34:19 PM43 trades$6,34413 min
5/7/2026, 11:17:37 PM357 trades$6,31462 min
4/1/2026, 7:53:15 PM33 trades$5,7516 min
4/24/2026, 11:31:20 AM57 trades$5,12217 min
4/24/2026, 12:41:18 PM45 trades$4,9684 min
5/3/2026, 6:39:00 PM11 trades$4,8523 min
4/24/2026, 5:19:26 PM22 trades$4,7921 min
4/25/2026, 3:32:08 PM29 trades$4,3322 min
5/4/2026, 4:41:52 PM5 trades$3,4070 min
4/16/2026, 7:21:52 PM10 trades$2,9650 min
5/8/2026, 4:51:20 AM104 trades$2,92424 min
4/23/2026, 12:22:22 AM26 trades$2,7155 min
3/23/2026, 4:00:23 PM18 trades$2,63615 min
4/25/2026, 11:14:58 AM26 trades$2,1216 min
4/24/2026, 7:39:08 PM30 trades$2,1119 min
4/1/2026, 8:08:35 PM13 trades$2,0486 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-13
01-10
02-05
03-05
04-03
05-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 28 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
57.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.88/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L28 / M49.4 / H22.7