@alexkrg
680xaaf7948cec26d8b164934b9da65f8ff15a5c2e27
~215d· 4853 markets · 173810 trades2026-08-02 05:19:46
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
68
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
33% (1427/4377)1.3/20
1.44x (win $8,852 / loss $6,138)8/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.65515/15
Sortino 9.94810/10
$+0.3169 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 22 (4377 markets)10/10
91/208 profitable days (44%)3.4/10
Max DD 11% of peak ($316 / $2,873)10/10
Badges
6Profitable
PnL $+7,139
Lottery Player
96% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
2% sells
Cool Head
Max DD 11%
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Overview
#1Net PnL
$7,139
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$8,564
Total Redeem
$7
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
4853
total markets
Trades
13530B / 3688S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~215d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
38%
2735W / 4410L events
Realized PnL
$7,139
Win Rate
38%
2735W / 4410L
Profit Factor
1.44x
Avg Win
$6
Avg Loss
$-2
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,163 (0.30302661013221727% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will London have less than 5mm of precipitation in May?$1,013
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?$750
Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to at least 20 years in prison?$401
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in November?$355
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?$219
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? $216
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?$215
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$210
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?$167
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$129
Top Losers
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be named in newly released Epstein files?$-314
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$-159
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?$-157
USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?$-154
French forces seize another oil tanker by Feb 28?$-113
Will Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files?$-60
Will "M5" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?$-50
Will Stephen Miran be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?$-48
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?$-47
Will 1550 to 1599 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?$-38
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.139
Sortino
0.486
HHI
5
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.389
Kelly %
19.0%
Half-Kelly
9.5%
Top-1 market
0.6%
Top-5 markets
1.6%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
692.5
Very active
Markets / Day
19.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
19.0m
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.95
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.3
Bot Detection
#655
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 442s — normal for humanCV 4.95 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock692 trades/day — automation19 markets/day — mass coverage10% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 16:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.6
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)95.7%
Mid (20-55c)0.7%
High (>55c)3.6%
Sessions
#128/1/2026, 7:15:26 PM2 trades$4,0000 min
4/28/2026, 6:27:22 PM11 trades$51415 min
5/12/2026, 1:09:39 PM5 trades$2100 min
7/31/2026, 11:58:21 AM1 trades$1950 min
7/29/2026, 7:10:24 PM1 trades$1680 min
7/29/2026, 8:23:53 PM1 trades$1260 min
8/2/2026, 3:22:20 AM1 trades$1240 min
7/31/2026, 1:56:18 PM1 trades$860 min
7/30/2026, 2:38:26 PM1 trades$830 min
7/31/2026, 4:15:21 PM1 trades$780 min
3/1/2026, 3:39:27 AM2 trades$353 min
6/2/2026, 7:39:47 AM1 trades$340 min
3/11/2026, 1:43:45 PM3 trades$321 min
1/10/2026, 3:26:18 PM5 trades$318 min
12/25/2025, 12:27:37 AM1 trades$300 min
7/31/2026, 9:17:38 PM1 trades$260 min
2/8/2026, 11:01:33 AM9 trades$245 min
12/29/2025, 7:00:45 PM6 trades$247 min
1/22/2026, 1:48:30 PM22 trades$2426 min
3/26/2026, 9:58:57 AM2 trades$220 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-25
01-10
02-13
03-19
04-22
05-26
07-25
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 26 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
2.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.6/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L95.7 / M0.7 / H3.6