@LeDrillenisse

#2,869,7527

0xab8b02bf669e5afbcde97c4cd24e8d83a804488d

~31d· 35 markets · 396 tradesVol: $23,8922026-08-02 06:30:50
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

7
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

40% (8/20)5/20
0.18x (win $222 / loss $1,224)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.2310/15
Sortino -5.0580/10
$-0.3060 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2142 (20 markets)1.8/10
4/14 profitable days (29%)0/10
Max DD 1738% of peak ($1,064 / $61)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
46% entries < $0.20

Categories

3
🏛️ POLITICS#1,598,332$-540Vol: $20,208
SPORTS#1,586,184$-49Vol: $3,127
🎭 CULTURE#695,938$-11Vol: $556

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-600
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$23,892
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
35
total markets
Trades
154B / 242S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~31d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$10
Vol: $0
Month
$11
Vol: $0
All Time
$-600
Vol: $23,892

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
40%
8W / 12L events
Realized PnL
$-600
Win Rate
40%
8W / 12L
Profit Factor
0.18x
Avg Win
$28
Avg Loss
$-122

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $187 (0.3111947506911368% of PnL)

Top Winners

Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?$88
Will Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?$65
US strikes Iraq by February 28?$34
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$15
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$15
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?$4
Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?$1
Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?$0

Top Losers

Will Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026?$-628
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026?$-383
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-106
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 17?$-40
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$-16
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?$-11
Will Iran strike UAE again in March?$-10
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?$-10
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in February 2026?$-10
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-10

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.264
Sortino
-0.203
HHI
414
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.692
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14.1%
Top-5 markets
34.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.16
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.7

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 192s — normal for humanCV 1.16 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern18/24 hours — extended activity3 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal21% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.9
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)46.1%
Mid (20-55c)26.6%
High (>55c)27.3%

Sessions

#12
4/8/2026, 11:45:55 PM23 trades$1,0742 min
7/20/2026, 8:22:42 PM29 trades$5383 min
3/31/2026, 4:29:35 PM45 trades$4699 min
7/14/2026, 10:38:50 PM2 trades$3520 min
4/8/2026, 11:56:13 PM14 trades$3391 min
7/17/2026, 9:03:37 PM13 trades$2484 min
4/5/2026, 12:15:49 AM14 trades$2471 min
4/4/2026, 6:59:39 PM10 trades$2311 min
3/28/2026, 10:22:59 AM4 trades$2001 min
3/28/2026, 7:39:06 PM2 trades$1810 min
7/22/2026, 8:35:54 PM9 trades$1540 min
4/4/2026, 6:51:25 PM4 trades$1460 min
4/2/2026, 1:40:33 PM8 trades$1450 min
7/17/2026, 9:15:45 PM9 trades$1270 min
6/5/2026, 9:13:00 PM4 trades$1232 min
3/30/2026, 7:41:46 AM4 trades$1206 min
4/4/2026, 6:40:13 PM2 trades$1180 min
3/28/2026, 7:19:26 PM5 trades$1173 min
3/30/2026, 9:17:07 PM3 trades$1051 min
3/28/2026, 1:16:41 PM1 trades$1000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-27
03-03
03-29
03-31
04-04
04-08
07-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 109 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
61.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.9/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L46.1 / M26.6 / H27.3