Konfucious

@Konfucious

#26,11537

0xac761dd9b3a373cc9031dabaab1ecec546299359

~187d· 579 markets · 8714 tradesVol: $264,7562026-08-02 07:52:46
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

37
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

57% (307/541)13.4/20
1.01x (win $20,825 / loss $20,519)2.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0931.7/15
Sortino 0.1131.1/10
$+0.0033 per $1 invested0.2/10
HHI 73 (541 markets)10/10
101/166 profitable days (61%)7.7/10
Max DD 135% of peak ($7,831 / $5,782)0/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+4,813
DCA Master
Avg 15.0 entries/market
Whale
$93,581 invested
Consistent
101/166 profitable days
Win Streak
13 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#6,859$4,468Vol: $235,952
SPORTS#208,458$27Vol: $7,804
📈 ECONOMICS#8,656$185Vol: $6,263
💰 FINANCE#14,266$155Vol: $6,166
🎭 CULTURE#22,385$88Vol: $4,501
🌤️ WEATHER#258,714$-19Vol: $3,110
💻 TECH#232,413$-17Vol: $272
CRYPTO#1,028,672$-5Vol: $160
📢 MENTIONS#89,956$-1Vol: $40

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$4,813
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$264,756
Total Redeem
$562
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
579
total markets
Trades
5548B / 3166S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~187d

Periods

#2
Today
$-23
Vol: $235
Week
$-118
Vol: $235
Month
$-61
Vol: $1,132
All Time
$4,813
Vol: $264,756

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
57%
307W / 234L events
Realized PnL
$4,813
Win Rate
57%
307W / 234L
Profit Factor
1.01x
Avg Win
$68
Avg Loss
$-92

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,950 (0.6129496044146001% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$1,365
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$858
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$727
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?$663
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$630
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$564
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?$463
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$458
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$418
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?$417

Top Losers

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$-1,618
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$-1,443
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$-983
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?$-926
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$-925
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?$-918
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$-773
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?$-702
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?$-694
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?$-657

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.005
Sortino
0.004
HHI
66
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.004
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.3%
Top-5 markets
9.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
46.4
Active
Markets / Day
3.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
45.3m
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.47
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
8 min
Avg Trades / Session
14.9

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 452s — normal for humanCV 1.47 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock46 trades/day — high frequency3.1 markets/day — normal65% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
15.03
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7%
Mid (20-55c)25.6%
High (>55c)67.4%

Sessions

#12
6/13/2026, 9:37:06 PM12 trades$1,9748 min
6/11/2026, 5:25:39 PM65 trades$1,61325 min
6/13/2026, 9:28:09 PM7 trades$1,1051 min
6/10/2026, 11:07:27 AM33 trades$92010 min
5/18/2026, 7:02:43 PM21 trades$6565 min
6/17/2026, 9:22:19 PM25 trades$5777 min
6/20/2026, 1:07:47 PM38 trades$57725 min
6/13/2026, 2:21:01 PM26 trades$56913 min
4/26/2026, 6:20:32 PM14 trades$5653 min
6/14/2026, 12:17:15 PM39 trades$54012 min
6/27/2026, 9:37:31 PM8 trades$5334 min
4/5/2026, 4:10:51 AM4 trades$4800 min
5/1/2026, 6:28:12 PM7 trades$4692 min
5/8/2026, 1:41:01 PM5 trades$4651 min
6/10/2026, 9:35:12 PM37 trades$44036 min
6/7/2026, 9:21:10 PM14 trades$4264 min
7/11/2026, 10:19:41 PM4 trades$4215 min
6/17/2026, 1:20:08 PM8 trades$41815 min
6/19/2026, 11:09:56 PM7 trades$4106 min
7/20/2026, 6:17:06 PM10 trades$3971 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-27
02-24
03-23
04-25
05-28
06-27
07-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 54 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 15.03/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L7 / M25.6 / H67.4