@mauvargas10

#2,707,66316

0xad1fdda61e46259cd55bf8fed8ee1cfe982e4348

~35d· 383 markets · 2117 tradesVol: $34,0402026-08-26 09:13:40
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

16
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

41% (155/376)5.6/20
0.77x (win $719 / loss $930)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.2580/15
Sortino -4.7120/10
$-0.0321 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 225 (376 markets)10/10
10/34 profitable days (29%)0/10
Max DD 267% of peak ($337 / $126)0/10

Badges

2
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
₿ CRYPTO#185,186$20Vol: $17,623
⚽ SPORTS#1,628,252$-59Vol: $5,409
🏛️ POLITICS#1,433,136$-32Vol: $5,106
💰 FINANCE#622,611$-47Vol: $2,364
🎭 CULTURE#681,651$-8Vol: $1,609
📈 ECONOMICS#648,196$-38Vol: $942
🌤️ WEATHER#246,189$-9Vol: $232
📢 MENTIONS#29,470$3Vol: $47
💻 TECH#228,518$-8Vol: $21

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-170
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$34,040
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
383
total markets
Trades
1333B / 784S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~35d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-47
Vol: $476
All Time
$-170
Vol: $34,040

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
41%
155W / 221L events
Realized PnL
$-159
Win Rate
41%
155W / 221L
Profit Factor
0.77x
Avg Win
$5
Avg Loss
$-4

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $324 (2.0406078567374992% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on February 22?$174
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on February 21?$91
XRP Up or Down - March 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$58
Ethereum Up or Down - February 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$39
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on March 13?$31
Ethereum Up or Down - March 17, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$30
Ethereum Up or Down - March 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$29
Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on February 26?$29
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$28
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on March 2?$24

Top Losers

XRP Up or Down on March 13?$-59
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 11?$-57
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 11?$-50
XRP Up or Down - March 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$-46
Solana Up or Down - February 23, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$-42
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 19?$-30
Ethereum Up or Down - February 21, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$-30
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 2?$-30
XRP Up or Down on February 22?$-28
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on February 26?$-25

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.168
Sortino
-0.276
HHI
204
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.032
Kelly %
8.4%
Half-Kelly
4.2%
Top-1 market
11.7%
Top-5 markets
21.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
12.2
Active
Markets / Day
2.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
36s
between trades
Avg Gap
18.9m
between trades
Night Trading
36%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.74
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
11 min
Avg Trades / Session
22.6

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 36s — normal for humanCV 0.74 — diverse sizes (human-like)36% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock12 trades/day — very active2.2 markets/day — normal38% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.61
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)19.2%
Mid (20-55c)16.5%
High (>55c)64.3%

Sessions

#12
2/28/2026, 12:32:41 AM247 trades$1,22997 min
2/26/2026, 4:49:16 PM62 trades$35939 min
2/28/2026, 10:10:23 AM66 trades$35526 min
2/22/2026, 9:20:48 PM24 trades$34513 min
2/28/2026, 12:00:07 AM64 trades$31821 min
2/23/2026, 9:22:16 AM5 trades$2500 min
3/12/2026, 7:31:37 PM8 trades$2296 min
2/22/2026, 8:42:56 PM2 trades$2154 min
2/28/2026, 5:24:43 PM39 trades$19216 min
2/27/2026, 7:42:57 AM38 trades$18720 min
2/28/2026, 8:50:43 AM32 trades$18710 min
2/26/2026, 1:28:26 PM37 trades$18129 min
2/23/2026, 9:27:52 AM6 trades$1731 min
2/25/2026, 8:41:52 PM32 trades$15725 min
3/12/2026, 7:12:29 PM19 trades$1545 min
3/7/2026, 4:53:45 PM3 trades$1501 min
3/25/2026, 3:31:17 AM25 trades$1482 min
2/28/2026, 4:59:11 PM26 trades$14215 min
2/23/2026, 9:33:34 AM4 trades$1331 min
2/27/2026, 3:56:06 AM27 trades$13212 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-18
02-25
03-02
03-07
03-16
03-24
07-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 168 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.61/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L19.2 / M16.5 / H64.3