ErnstKuzorra

@ErnstKuzorra

#3,017,05942

0xad8e0a79c34730774cfb1870d9fbdc0bfa45776e

~259d· 536 markets · 5400 tradesVol: $1,288,047 @nbuschi2026-08-02 06:36:12
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

42
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

81% (418/517)20/20
0.97x (win $51,803 / loss $53,239)2.2/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.1240/15
Sortino -0.1580/10
$-0.0022 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 75 (517 markets)10/10
142/189 profitable days (75%)10/10
Max DD 233% of peak ($11,383 / $4,892)0/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 81%
DCA Master
Avg 9.6 entries/market
Whale
$642,230 invested
Consistent
142/189 profitable days
High Roller
$1,060/day
Win Streak
27 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,634,347$-6,320Vol: $668,370
📈 ECONOMICS#662,045$-120Vol: $155,650
CRYPTO#10,426$4,605Vol: $134,067
🎭 CULTURE#13,822$202Vol: $90,124
SPORTS#1,832,928$-1,143Vol: $75,871
🌤️ WEATHER#283,497$-92Vol: $49,841
💰 FINANCE#3,167$1,439Vol: $43,791
💻 TECH#257,750$-3,208Vol: $39,471
📢 MENTIONS#956$1,431Vol: $22,002

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,867
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,288,047
Total Redeem
$29,016
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
536
total markets
Trades
4127B / 1273S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~259d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $80
Week
$-1,943
Vol: $80
Month
$-148
Vol: $16,927
All Time
$-2,867
Vol: $1,288,047

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
81%
418W / 99L events
Realized PnL
$-2,867
Win Rate
81%
418W / 99L
Profit Factor
0.97x
Avg Win
$124
Avg Loss
$-549

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $14,276 (4.979570552575219% of PnL)

Top Winners

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$6,936
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$3,934
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$3,406
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 0.5$2,211
Will France win on 2026-06-16?$2,061
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$1,756
Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?$990
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance$985
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$863
Will Trump say "Third term" in March?$815

Top Losers

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$-5,800
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$-4,783
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-4,240
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$-3,932
Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?$-3,226
OpenAI browser by October 31?$-2,751
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$-2,690
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?$-2,480
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?$-2,150
Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 0.5$-1,992

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.006
Sortino
-0.005
HHI
55
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.002
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.8%
Top-5 markets
9.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
8.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.02
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.4

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 320s — normal for humanCV 2.02 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock9 trades/day — normal0.9 markets/day — normal67% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.63
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.6%
Mid (20-55c)7.4%
High (>55c)91%

Sessions

#12
4/5/2026, 5:58:15 AM5 trades$16,9437 min
8/1/2026, 7:09:44 PM6 trades$16,8601 min
6/1/2026, 5:01:10 PM2 trades$12,9480 min
3/15/2026, 5:50:45 PM5 trades$10,9873 min
4/1/2026, 9:47:43 AM8 trades$9,6482 min
5/11/2026, 5:12:29 AM2 trades$9,2270 min
7/15/2026, 11:01:37 AM7 trades$9,1251 min
4/8/2026, 10:53:15 AM12 trades$8,2046 min
6/25/2026, 1:20:25 PM23 trades$8,1521 min
4/4/2026, 9:30:57 AM4 trades$8,1001 min
4/5/2026, 8:42:43 PM27 trades$7,1631 min
3/12/2026, 3:00:21 PM6 trades$6,4005 min
4/30/2026, 5:44:08 PM3 trades$5,8500 min
4/17/2026, 10:34:04 PM6 trades$5,7200 min
5/26/2026, 1:50:08 PM28 trades$5,6210 min
11/17/2025, 9:25:25 AM9 trades$5,5334 min
4/2/2026, 8:42:37 AM4 trades$5,3220 min
4/8/2026, 6:44:49 PM1 trades$4,9750 min
5/10/2026, 1:19:25 PM2 trades$4,9300 min
3/24/2026, 7:10:35 PM2 trades$4,5561 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-04
11-03
12-27
02-11
03-25
05-26
07-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 179 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
23.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.63/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.6 / M7.4 / H91