@0xade3686ec532a061e2a8ad2d0cb45ec26e623b44

11

0xade3686ec532a061e2a8ad2d0cb45ec26e623b44

~119d· 405 markets · 2555 trades2026-08-02 06:21:58
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

11
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

14% (53/372)0/20
0.91x (win $2,440 / loss $2,678)1.4/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.4310/15
Sortino -1.1360/10
$-0.0275 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 432 (372 markets)10/10
22/94 profitable days (23%)0/10
Max DD 155% of peak ($668 / $430)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
69% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,190
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$8,654
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
405
total markets
Trades
1120B / 1435S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~119d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
14%
53W / 319L events
Realized PnL
$-1,190
Win Rate
14%
53W / 319L
Profit Factor
0.91x
Avg Win
$46
Avg Loss
$-10

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,559 (1.3094558040289654% of PnL)

Top Winners

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$906
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$486
Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?$167
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$148
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 28?$86
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$84
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$55
Will Solana dip to $100 in January?$40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 29?$40
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?$38

Top Losers

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$-108
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$-95
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?$-91
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?$-88
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?$-87
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?$-77
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on April 5?$-63
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?$-61
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$-60
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$-54

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.022
Sortino
-0.066
HHI
437
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.030
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
15.6%
Top-5 markets
37.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
13.0
Active
Markets / Day
2.1
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.03
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
17.7

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 94s — normal for humanCV 5.03 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours23/24 hours — around the clock13 trades/day — very active2.1 markets/day — normal34% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.68
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)69.3%
Mid (20-55c)8.8%
High (>55c)22%

Sessions

#12
5/9/2026, 6:53:19 PM14 trades$6,0854 min
4/22/2026, 12:53:30 AM8 trades$5,9093 min
4/23/2026, 12:10:08 AM9 trades$5,1908 min
4/7/2026, 10:32:55 PM14 trades$1,5784 min
4/2/2026, 2:25:39 PM12 trades$1,5034 min
4/3/2026, 9:48:23 PM16 trades$1,4775 min
5/18/2026, 4:12:56 PM34 trades$1,4517 min
4/21/2026, 9:33:10 PM5 trades$1,2101 min
4/6/2026, 10:12:55 AM16 trades$1,2013 min
4/9/2026, 1:23:05 PM14 trades$1,0634 min
5/2/2026, 1:16:04 PM15 trades$1,05215 min
5/11/2026, 11:45:59 PM8 trades$9946 min
6/7/2026, 10:33:13 PM34 trades$9476 min
5/12/2026, 10:25:51 PM52 trades$88710 min
6/18/2026, 12:06:04 AM24 trades$8049 min
5/29/2026, 3:28:29 PM47 trades$7709 min
6/15/2026, 10:05:21 PM14 trades$7629 min
4/23/2026, 12:50:26 AM11 trades$7323 min
4/8/2026, 5:09:41 PM10 trades$6889 min
5/22/2026, 11:32:45 PM71 trades$62015 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-03
02-01
03-27
04-24
05-16
06-07
07-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 70 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
56.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.68/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L69.3 / M8.8 / H22