@choosewin
#2,523,661280xae8696ebd370e1b20e5a7a64fc6e4e5530d86e6a
~28d· 49 markets · 557 tradesVol: $163,4642026-08-04 22:09:40
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
28
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
68% (26/38)19.2/20
0.13x (win $4,050 / loss $30,123)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -8.4370/15
Sortino -7.7180/10
$-0.8217 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1638 (38 markets)4.3/10
8/17 profitable days (47%)4.3/10
Max DD 69738% of peak ($26,110 / $37)0/10
Badges
4Sniper
Win rate 68%
DCA Master
Avg 18.2 entries/market
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active
Categories
6🏛️ POLITICS#1,487,441$-64Vol: $105,106
📈 ECONOMICS#631,697$-23Vol: $20,805
⚽ SPORTS#153,975$59Vol: $14,074
₿ CRYPTO#1,486,686$-113Vol: $12,197
🎭 CULTURE#737,381$-26Vol: $8,115
💰 FINANCE#21,476$73Vol: $3,146
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-94
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$163,464
Total Redeem
$213
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
49
total markets
Trades
401B / 156S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~28d
Periods
#2Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$-3
Vol: $0
All Time
$-94
Vol: $163,464
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
68%
26W / 12L events
Realized PnL
$-94
Win Rate
68%
26W / 12L
Profit Factor
0.13x
Avg Win
$156
Avg Loss
$-2,510
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,757 (39.969148936170214% of PnL)
Top Winners
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$2,686
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$579
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?$492
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?$91
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 4?$35
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$31
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?$26
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?$26
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?$21
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?$17
Top Losers
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$-14,234
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$-6,215
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$-3,075
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-2,880
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?$-1,645
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-783
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?$-696
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$-514
Will FDP win the most seats in the next German election?$-41
Linea airdrop in Q1 2025?$-17
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.428
Sortino
-0.334
HHI
2222
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.654
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
32%
Top-5 markets
94.5%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
20.2m
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.53
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.3
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 135s — normal for humanCV 1.53 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — unusual hours23/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal67% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 10:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
18.16
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)14.7%
Mid (20-55c)20%
High (>55c)65.3%
Sessions
#125/7/2026, 10:12:25 AM76 trades$8,27956 min
5/8/2026, 1:34:03 AM6 trades$2,4050 min
5/7/2026, 9:46:47 AM6 trades$2,3381 min
5/7/2026, 1:06:11 PM21 trades$2,11520 min
5/30/2026, 7:32:04 AM13 trades$2,0382 min
5/7/2026, 3:31:56 PM27 trades$1,84620 min
6/4/2026, 8:14:55 AM18 trades$1,8437 min
5/7/2026, 10:02:16 AM2 trades$1,5000 min
5/7/2026, 2:17:28 PM6 trades$1,0891 min
6/5/2026, 7:11:37 AM4 trades$1,0585 min
7/14/2026, 3:23:50 AM12 trades$1,0402 min
6/4/2026, 10:34:46 PM5 trades$9804 min
5/7/2026, 2:26:29 PM6 trades$9026 min
7/14/2026, 4:34:13 PM4 trades$8740 min
6/4/2026, 2:17:19 PM5 trades$8581 min
12/31/2025, 2:38:49 PM5 trades$8182 min
6/4/2026, 4:10:49 PM13 trades$7942 min
7/14/2026, 7:40:17 AM20 trades$76728 min
7/14/2026, 10:39:59 AM7 trades$7035 min
6/4/2026, 9:51:07 AM9 trades$6518 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-31
01-14
03-10
09-18
11-30
05-07
05-30
06-05
07-15
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 196 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
28% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 18.16/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L14.7 / M20 / H65.3