@Ume-Chang

#3,116,46231

0xae89da6594bb0d421c8d807d74e213f8729e90b8

~117d· 2164 markets · 9876 tradesVol: $873,3932026-09-10 21:01:37
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

31
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

91% (1949/2153)20/20
0.74x (win $66,763 / loss $90,596)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.7950/15
Sortino -0.9370/10
$-0.0911 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1435 (2153 markets)5.3/10
48/88 profitable days (55%)6.1/10
Max DD 238% of peak ($41,440 / $17,415)0/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 91%
Profitable
PnL $+4,340
Whale
$261,555 invested
High Roller
$1,605/day
Win Streak
47 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
75% maker orders

Categories

5
CRYPTO#1,653,114$-905Vol: $356,748
🏛️ POLITICS#1,648,464$-4,369Vol: $336,129
📈 ECONOMICS#862$6,678Vol: $98,917
💰 FINANCE#667,961$-11,465Vol: $59,599
🎭 CULTURE#4,846$1,100Vol: $22,000

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-8,962
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$873,393
Total Redeem
$11,766
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2164
total markets
Trades
7246B / 2630S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~117d

Periods

#2
Today
$-639
Vol: $0
Week
$-1,315
Vol: $14,875
Month
$-5,494
Vol: $32,745
All Time
$-8,962
Vol: $873,393

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
91%
1949W / 204L events
Realized PnL
$4,340
Win Rate
91%
1949W / 204L
Profit Factor
0.74x
Avg Win
$34
Avg Loss
$-465

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $50,852 (11.71741058981573% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$25,977
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$15,699
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$9,175
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$4,771
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$4,289
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?$1,440
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?$342
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?$275
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?$54

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-40,408
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-26,180
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-19,190
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$-100
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$-100
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$-100
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$-72
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$-70
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$-56
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$-55

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.041
Sortino
-0.034
HHI
1696
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.074
Kelly %
59.3%
Half-Kelly
29.6%
Top-1 market
31.3%
Top-5 markets
80.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
60.6
Very active
Markets / Day
13.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
25.6m
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
13.34
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.8

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 65s — normal for humanCV 13.34 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock61 trades/day — mass trading13 markets/day — mass coverage75% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.7
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.7%
Mid (20-55c)2.4%
High (>55c)94.9%

Sessions

#12
3/27/2026, 1:18:19 PM1 trades$31,9200 min
3/31/2026, 2:00:43 AM21 trades$22,82513 min
4/5/2026, 6:48:41 AM2 trades$18,2600 min
4/28/2026, 8:52:12 AM1 trades$14,0020 min
6/13/2026, 6:32:54 PM6 trades$11,6810 min
3/31/2026, 1:45:49 AM19 trades$11,3419 min
5/21/2026, 5:53:42 AM2 trades$10,0000 min
7/7/2026, 11:48:19 AM3 trades$9,5640 min
8/5/2026, 5:09:08 AM2 trades$9,0920 min
6/11/2026, 7:12:37 PM7 trades$8,5611 min
4/14/2026, 12:14:15 PM35 trades$8,21646 min
5/27/2026, 6:24:14 AM10 trades$7,0880 min
4/3/2026, 7:02:29 PM15 trades$6,4630 min
3/22/2026, 4:12:07 AM1 trades$5,6600 min
7/8/2026, 1:23:59 PM3 trades$5,0652 min
4/15/2026, 2:50:18 PM14 trades$4,7410 min
4/24/2026, 2:05:52 PM1 trades$4,6620 min
7/17/2026, 10:10:25 AM1 trades$3,8250 min
4/24/2026, 4:43:52 AM18 trades$3,5985 min
4/14/2026, 11:17:37 AM16 trades$3,43235 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-21
05-11
06-09
06-23
07-07
07-21
08-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 122 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
26.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.7/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.7 / M2.4 / H94.9