@0xaebd870371f88133e7a2674f22b062f2302fa26f
250xaebd870371f88133e7a2674f22b062f2302fa26f
~34d· 154 markets · 1380 trades2026-08-02 06:40:25
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
25
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
49% (65/133)9.4/20
0.46x (win $1,493 / loss $3,264)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.9700/15
Sortino -2.9930/10
$-0.1318 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 307 (133 markets)10/10
16/30 profitable days (53%)5.8/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($2,158 / $0)0/10
Badges
3DCA Master
Avg 9.6 entries/market
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-1,419
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$13,438
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
154
total markets
Trades
776B / 604S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~34d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
49%
65W / 68L events
Realized PnL
$-1,419
Win Rate
49%
65W / 68L
Profit Factor
0.46x
Avg Win
$23
Avg Loss
$-60
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $532 (0.37459212223295013% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?$318
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on July 18?$115
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on July 30?$99
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on July 27?$95
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 20?$91
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on July 23?$88
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on July 22?$74
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 16?$50
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on July 4?$49
Will Hanwha Life Esports win MSI 2026?$33
Top Losers
Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?$-785
Will the Republican candidate win Iowa by 10.0% or more? $-523
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 28?$-333
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?$-300
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104$-207
Will North Carolina be the closest state?$-100
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?$-100
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 28?$-89
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on July 4?$-82
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on July 20?$-59
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.153
Sortino
-0.111
HHI
292
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.139
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.1%
Top-5 markets
30.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
2.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
58.9m
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.55
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.0
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 322s — normal for humanCV 2.55 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal56% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 13:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
9.58
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)11.7%
Mid (20-55c)22%
High (>55c)66.2%
Sessions
#127/28/2026, 8:30:55 PM47 trades$1,88317 min
7/16/2026, 8:13:56 PM4 trades$1,1050 min
6/21/2026, 2:49:28 PM8 trades$9026 min
11/5/2024, 1:45:47 PM2 trades$7401 min
7/28/2026, 1:40:11 PM85 trades$71037 min
6/21/2026, 2:39:14 PM5 trades$6320 min
11/4/2024, 11:39:59 PM2 trades$5751 min
7/20/2026, 9:36:31 PM4 trades$4260 min
11/5/2024, 9:48:51 AM3 trades$4001 min
7/1/2026, 1:06:58 AM4 trades$3974 min
11/5/2024, 10:43:31 AM1 trades$3900 min
7/29/2026, 7:52:11 PM4 trades$3750 min
7/17/2026, 10:04:09 AM2 trades$3510 min
7/4/2026, 9:56:46 AM3 trades$3350 min
7/16/2026, 3:16:53 PM16 trades$33510 min
11/5/2024, 11:03:27 PM2 trades$3150 min
7/4/2026, 2:44:01 AM4 trades$2533 min
7/18/2026, 12:59:46 PM11 trades$2404 min
7/22/2026, 10:51:24 PM22 trades$2367 min
7/8/2026, 11:19:05 PM16 trades$20410 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-05
07-04
07-11
07-16
07-21
07-27
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
60% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.58/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L11.7 / M22 / H66.2