12monkeys

@12monkeys

#3,067,43752

0xaebf3acc7c9add4928bd218f96de5cf64987e1ca

~216d· 1043 markets · 15248 tradesVol: $7,967,5792026-08-02 07:56:24
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

52
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

41% (429/1043)5.6/20
1.09x (win $1,503,321 / loss $1,376,811)3.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.92415/15
Sortino 1.28110/10
$+0.0550 per $1 invested2.8/10
HHI 37 (1043 markets)10/10
99/201 profitable days (49%)4.8/10
Max DD 128% of peak ($224,287 / $175,358)0/10

Badges

5
Contrarian
88% entries < $0.55
Whale
$2,299,799 invested
High Roller
$2,731/day
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

4
SPORTS#38,427$987Vol: $6,042,770
CRYPTO#1,661,944$-4,196Vol: $210,789
🏛️ POLITICS#4,408$8,273Vol: $23,105
🎭 CULTURE#804,801$-492Vol: $15,600

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-40,364
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$7,967,579
Total Redeem
$36,592
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1043
total markets
Trades
7266B / 7982S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~216d

Periods

#2
Today
$-66
Vol: $13,204
Week
$-10,251
Vol: $13,204
Month
$-2,116
Vol: $23,990
All Time
$-40,364
Vol: $7,967,579

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
41%
429W / 614L events
Realized PnL
$-40,364
Win Rate
41%
429W / 614L
Profit Factor
1.09x
Avg Win
$3,504
Avg Loss
$-2,279

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $106,774 (2.6452464660062995% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$39,909
Will Avispa Fukuoka win on 2026-04-19?$34,321
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?$32,544
Will Chelsea win the FIFA Club World Cup?$26,410
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score$24,480
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2$23,322
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?$20,685
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2$16,591
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs$16,383
Spread: United States (-1.5)$16,142

Top Losers

Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Score$-76,344
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score$-43,357
Ansem vs. Bitboy - Crypto Fight Night$-26,948
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Sabres vs. Canadiens $-23,995
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 1.5$-21,037
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-21?$-20,019
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score$-19,428
Leeds United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to Score$-18,598
Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5$-17,366
Elche CF vs. Getafe CF: Both Teams to Score$-16,824

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.048
Sortino
0.055
HHI
41
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.055
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.8%
Top-5 markets
7.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
18.1
Active
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
39s
between trades
Avg Gap
37.8m
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.11
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
51.1

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 39s — normal for humanCV 3.11 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock18 trades/day — very active1.2 markets/day — normal50% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
14.62
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)16.6%
Mid (20-55c)71.9%
High (>55c)11.5%

Sessions

#12
5/15/2026, 8:09:14 PM13 trades$70,3787 min
4/29/2026, 8:26:58 PM473 trades$57,1895 min
6/7/2026, 4:41:25 PM11 trades$50,6490 min
5/27/2026, 7:48:28 PM86 trades$38,7656 min
6/9/2026, 7:32:31 PM25 trades$35,5189 min
4/26/2026, 10:19:06 PM69 trades$35,0039 min
5/27/2026, 3:36:47 AM101 trades$34,7183 min
7/19/2026, 12:18:46 PM24 trades$31,8171 min
5/2/2026, 7:22:50 PM13 trades$29,0905 min
6/7/2026, 11:55:22 AM5 trades$28,3964 min
5/15/2026, 2:34:39 PM11 trades$27,7852 min
4/19/2026, 9:11:22 AM5 trades$27,4540 min
4/30/2026, 7:26:02 PM7 trades$27,3811 min
5/19/2026, 7:31:30 PM79 trades$25,91821 min
4/27/2026, 8:12:40 PM21 trades$25,6266 min
5/24/2026, 4:59:02 PM103 trades$24,84122 min
6/4/2026, 8:10:51 AM2 trades$24,4250 min
4/27/2026, 6:03:50 PM4 trades$23,4931 min
6/28/2026, 2:07:23 PM9 trades$23,0054 min
4/5/2026, 1:57:43 PM79 trades$22,71718 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-11
10-11
12-02
04-03
05-08
06-11
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 23 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
52.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 14.62/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L16.6 / M71.9 / H11.5