@0xaf21…2f68

#2,213,21374

0xaf21697f7ca73ba6ccc848e00f5ecd3dafa82f68

~19d· 37 markets · 87 tradesVol: $4172026-09-08 07:49:10
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

74
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

35% (13/37)2.6/20
1.82x (win $67 / loss $37)12.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.59515/15
Sortino 16.61410/10
$+0.3901 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 503 (37 markets)10/10
9/18 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 25% of peak ($10 / $38)8.9/10

Badges

2
Contrarian
62% entries < $0.55
Cool Head
Max DD 25%

Categories

6
📢 MENTIONS#138,373$-14Vol: $246
💰 FINANCE#557,723$-6Vol: $113
🏛️ POLITICS#1,041,699$-3Vol: $35
🎭 CULTURE#627,688$-4Vol: $19
🌤️ WEATHER#213,203$-2Vol: $3
₿ CRYPTO#463,436$1Vol: $2

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-27
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$417
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
37
total markets
Trades
42B / 45S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~19d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $18
Month
$-2
Vol: $26
All Time
$-27
Vol: $417

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
35%
13W / 24L events
Realized PnL
$-23
Win Rate
35%
13W / 24L
Profit Factor
1.82x
Avg Win
$5
Avg Loss
$-3

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $47 (2.0200940572894397% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Luke Nosek be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?$27
Will Trump say "Dumocrat" or "Dumbocrat" or "Dumacrat" during June 24 Rally?$14
Will Brian Bjelde be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?$6
Will Trump dance during UFC Freedom 250?$5
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during June Press Conference?$5
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Medal of Honor ceremony on June 18?$5
Will Warsh say "Uncertainty" during July Press Conference?$1
Will JPMorgan say "Prediction" during earnings call?$1
Will Warsh say "Productivity" during July Press Conference?$1
Will Netflix say "Pivot" during earnings call?$1

Top Losers

Will Spencer Pratt concede by July 2?$-5
Will Trump praise Lionel Messi by June 30?$-5
Will Antonio Gracias be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?$-5
Will Trump say "Maduro" this week?$-4
Will Warsh say "Downside" during June Press Conference?$-4
Will Warsh say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during June Press Conference?$-4
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?$-4
Will Trump say "World Cup" or "Olympics" during June 24 Rally?$-3
Will Warsh say "Bet" or "Betting" during July Press Conference?$-2
Will Oracle Q4 Cloud revenue be above $10.25B?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.234
Sortino
1.539
HHI
420
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.390
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.4%
Top-5 markets
28.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
22.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
5.3h
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.47
Moderate
Session Statistics
Sessions
37
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.4

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1359s — normal for humanCV 0.47 — uniform order sizes16% night trades — unusual hours16/24 hours — normal schedule2 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal48% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.35
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)61.9%
High (>55c)38.1%

Sessions

#12
6/10/2026, 4:04:19 PM13 trades$300 min
6/29/2026, 7:20:07 AM3 trades$110 min
6/24/2026, 2:12:02 PM2 trades$100 min
6/11/2026, 4:10:33 PM3 trades$70 min
6/9/2026, 4:46:06 PM2 trades$70 min
6/27/2026, 4:14:46 AM2 trades$60 min
6/9/2026, 3:34:51 PM2 trades$60 min
6/9/2026, 6:34:28 PM2 trades$50 min
6/11/2026, 3:47:54 PM2 trades$50 min
6/18/2026, 7:41:41 PM2 trades$50 min
6/11/2026, 3:33:07 PM2 trades$50 min
6/15/2026, 5:16:40 PM2 trades$50 min
6/15/2026, 5:39:00 PM2 trades$50 min
6/17/2026, 5:34:44 PM2 trades$50 min
6/9/2026, 6:11:51 PM2 trades$50 min
6/24/2026, 2:51:11 PM2 trades$50 min
6/27/2026, 4:05:20 AM2 trades$50 min
6/18/2026, 7:55:41 PM2 trades$50 min
6/26/2026, 3:27:08 AM2 trades$50 min
6/29/2026, 7:38:11 AM2 trades$50 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-10
06-17
06-26
06-30
07-11
07-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 32 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.35/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L0 / M61.9 / H38.1