@0xaF409E…0273

#84,13882

0xaf409e50577bd9cba48378656548a2d28d1a5662

~110d· 159 markets · 1394 tradesVol: $58,2552026-08-05 16:36:34
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

82
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

85% (106/124)20/20
14.12x (win $970 / loss $69)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.89815/15
Sortino 124.91910/10
$+0.0180 per $1 invested0.9/10
HHI 2194 (124 markets)1.5/10
50/60 profitable days (83%)10/10
Max DD 2% of peak ($17 / $902)10/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 85%
Profitable
PnL $+948
DCA Master
Avg 10.7 entries/market
Whale
$50,184 invested
Consistent
50/60 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 2%
Win Streak
16 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#27,664$486Vol: $42,241
🌤️ WEATHER#2,933$421Vol: $13,538
💰 FINANCE#28,065$43Vol: $1,193
📈 ECONOMICS#60,696$5Vol: $518
🎭 CULTURE#118,692$2Vol: $455
💻 TECH#19,669$8Vol: $174
₿ CRYPTO#1,254,910$-19Vol: $126

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$948
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$58,255
Total Redeem
$295
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
159
total markets
Trades
942B / 452S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~110d

Periods

#2
Today
$-14
Vol: $0
Week
$-10
Vol: $0
Month
$-6
Vol: $3
All Time
$948
Vol: $58,255

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
85%
106W / 18L events
Realized PnL
$948
Win Rate
85%
106W / 18L
Profit Factor
14.12x
Avg Win
$9
Avg Loss
$-5

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $530 (0.5594230728650109% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Trump visit China by April 30?$444
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$45
Will Trump visit China by May 31?$42
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?$39
Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?$38
Will Trump visit China by June 30?$37
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?$32
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?$25
Sharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?$25
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?$23

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$-20
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?$-10
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$-10
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 16?$-6
Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?$-4
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$-4
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?$-4
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?$-3
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?$-2
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.254
Sortino
3.542
HHI
2753
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.017
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
50.1%
Top-5 markets
76.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
9.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
11.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.45
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.4

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 714s — normal for humanCV 2.45 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock9 trades/day — normal1.1 markets/day — normal61% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.69
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.1%
Mid (20-55c)1.3%
High (>55c)97.7%

Sessions

#12
5/14/2026, 1:57:28 AM13 trades$2,4152 min
4/30/2026, 2:52:54 AM1 trades$1,9980 min
5/15/2026, 3:24:37 PM2 trades$1,9960 min
5/2/2026, 3:04:00 PM12 trades$1,3710 min
5/2/2026, 1:04:18 AM5 trades$1,2452 min
5/4/2026, 3:34:26 PM10 trades$1,1833 min
5/10/2026, 1:08:28 PM6 trades$1,1542 min
5/20/2026, 1:54:24 AM4 trades$1,1141 min
3/28/2026, 3:49:23 PM11 trades$1,08520 min
5/10/2026, 1:19:02 PM6 trades$1,0241 min
5/1/2026, 2:41:20 PM10 trades$9768 min
5/4/2026, 3:55:10 PM8 trades$9585 min
5/1/2026, 4:48:12 PM11 trades$9420 min
7/4/2026, 3:27:25 PM4 trades$8515 min
5/6/2026, 3:50:18 PM28 trades$77717 min
5/6/2026, 5:28:02 AM2 trades$7480 min
5/2/2026, 1:27:18 AM2 trades$7380 min
5/10/2026, 2:01:42 PM4 trades$7003 min
7/4/2026, 2:53:50 PM4 trades$6691 min
4/2/2026, 4:14:09 PM4 trades$6505 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-05
03-19
04-10
05-02
05-13
05-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 6 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
32.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.69/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.1 / M1.3 / H97.7