@honduraslover

#3,074,47019

0xaff389b0c6e066057c44c25fae7277880b276ecc

~238d· 1933 markets · 79261 tradesVol: $7,970,4552026-08-05 17:28:38
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

19
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

43% (792/1829)6.7/20
0.79x (win $367,573 / loss $464,916)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.3960/15
Sortino -1.7090/10
$-0.0441 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 57 (1829 markets)10/10
94/228 profitable days (41%)2.8/10
Max DD 4217% of peak ($132,882 / $3,151)0/10

Badges

4
Whale
$2,205,466 invested
High Roller
$9,189/day
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
SPORTS#1,878,082$-10,124Vol: $4,644,265
CRYPTO#1,675,980$-15,523Vol: $959,902
🎭 CULTURE#819,314$-32,828Vol: $928,747
💰 FINANCE#657,283$-2,803Vol: $659,472
🏛️ POLITICS#1,639,038$-11,512Vol: $628,065
📈 ECONOMICS#7,152$258Vol: $109,235
🌤️ WEATHER#27,203$7Vol: $7,316
💻 TECH#245,413$-55Vol: $6,801

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-72,443
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$7,970,455
Total Redeem
$59,327
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1933
total markets
Trades
36905B / 42356S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~238d

Periods

#2
Today
$-37
Vol: $1,977
Week
$-16
Vol: $10,743
Month
$-313
Vol: $18,641
All Time
$-72,443
Vol: $7,970,455

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
43%
792W / 1037L events
Realized PnL
$-72,443
Win Rate
43%
792W / 1037L
Profit Factor
0.79x
Avg Win
$464
Avg Loss
$-465

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $52,654 (0.7268361601417935% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$28,600
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$12,303
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?$11,751
Will Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?$10,582
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?$9,515
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?$8,981
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?$8,224
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$7,622
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?$7,177
Will RCD Mallorca vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?$6,946

Top Losers

Tom Holland announced as next James Bond?$-17,656
Will Leeds United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?$-13,918
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?$-13,451
Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?$-13,299
Penguins vs. Flyers$-11,378
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$-9,035
Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?$-8,605
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?$-8,568
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?$-8,529
Will Orlando City SC vs. Philadelphia Union end in a draw?$-8,481

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.073
Sortino
-0.072
HHI
71
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.041
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.8%
Top-5 markets
10.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
330.3
Very active
Markets / Day
8.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
40s
between trades
Avg Gap
9.9m
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.76
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
32 min
Avg Trades / Session
427.6

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 40s — normal for humanCV 2.76 — diverse sizes (human-like)27% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock330 trades/day — automation8.1 markets/day — normal32% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
46.32
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)11.5%
Mid (20-55c)24.4%
High (>55c)64.1%

Sessions

#12
5/10/2026, 1:30:42 PM1124 trades$102,569228 min
5/2/2026, 1:42:44 AM410 trades$85,79638 min
4/30/2026, 1:59:30 AM478 trades$84,61828 min
5/13/2026, 4:22:58 AM286 trades$78,14726 min
5/18/2026, 1:37:18 PM261 trades$69,92326 min
5/20/2026, 10:18:08 AM74 trades$64,7238 min
5/17/2026, 3:28:30 PM444 trades$63,12735 min
4/29/2026, 2:07:52 AM353 trades$57,87837 min
5/9/2026, 1:56:37 PM494 trades$55,096155 min
5/14/2026, 6:43:43 PM205 trades$49,91123 min
5/20/2026, 10:00:33 AM65 trades$48,21710 min
4/30/2026, 5:37:10 AM243 trades$47,25314 min
3/8/2026, 10:54:15 PM5749 trades$46,21154 min
5/17/2026, 1:10:47 PM216 trades$44,80024 min
4/26/2026, 9:37:32 PM4138 trades$44,229203 min
5/16/2026, 3:07:40 PM261 trades$43,09817 min
4/30/2026, 4:56:28 AM226 trades$43,04934 min
5/20/2026, 10:32:10 AM40 trades$40,4574 min
5/5/2026, 2:30:12 AM134 trades$38,7282 min
4/28/2026, 1:50:50 PM1742 trades$37,4976 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-09
01-22
03-03
04-10
05-18
06-25
08-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 132 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
53.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 46.32/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L11.5 / M24.4 / H64.1