@nostradanal

#2,722,4313

0xb1204ad7944aff59a3d660eefd91d1460bd3daea

~6d· 44 markets · 151 tradesVol: $6,4062026-08-26 09:13:15
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

3
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

14% (6/43)0/20
0.21x (win $85 / loss $398)0/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$-0.6001 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1911 (43 markets)2.9/10
1/4 profitable days (25%)0/10
Max DD 1674% of peak ($332 / $20)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+1,064
Contrarian
93% entries < $0.55

Categories

5
🌤️ WEATHER#201,684$-1Vol: $3,265
💻 TECH#227,902$-7Vol: $1,805
SPORTS#1,731,454$-153Vol: $714
🎭 CULTURE#678,078$-8Vol: $322
CRYPTO#1,230,776$-15Vol: $300

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-184
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$6,406
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
44
total markets
Trades
55B / 96S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~6d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
14%
6W / 37L events
Realized PnL
$1,064
Win Rate
14%
6W / 37L
Profit Factor
0.21x
Avg Win
$14
Avg Loss
$-19

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $64 (0.06031289370263817% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?$44
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$12
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?$8
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?$8
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?$7
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?$6

Top Losers

Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?$-278
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?$-40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$-30
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$-9
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$-5
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?$-4
Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?$-4
Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?$-2
Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?$-2
Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.539
Sortino
-0.438
HHI
779
Moderate
EV per $1
$-1.055
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
26.7%
Top-5 markets
40.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
7/24
Normal
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
22s
between trades
Avg Gap
59.7m
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.90
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
12
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.6

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 22s — normal for humanCV 2.89 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern7/24 hours — normal schedule3 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal36% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.09
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)27.3%
Mid (20-55c)65.5%
High (>55c)7.3%

Sessions

#12
5/11/2026, 9:58:35 AM2 trades$1,0510 min
5/12/2026, 5:16:53 PM4 trades$5810 min
7/8/2026, 2:29:59 PM3 trades$5150 min
7/8/2026, 2:36:32 PM19 trades$3661 min
7/8/2026, 5:00:14 PM10 trades$3110 min
5/11/2026, 5:02:07 PM18 trades$2960 min
5/13/2026, 7:23:45 PM2 trades$2610 min
5/11/2026, 5:26:49 PM75 trades$14418 min
5/16/2026, 9:57:03 PM8 trades$261 min
5/16/2026, 10:12:09 PM6 trades$241 min
5/14/2026, 10:52:13 AM2 trades$100 min
5/16/2026, 10:23:44 PM2 trades$20 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-11
05-14
05-16
07-08

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 58 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
63.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.09/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L27.3 / M65.5 / H7.3