@bikas

#3,046,69915

0xb223b08aa8461c1bbff4344fb31a4baea31e156b

~42d· 92 markets · 952 tradesVol: $161,878 @rasoul944536172026-08-26 09:13:39
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

15
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

45% (39/86)7.7/20
0.18x (win $280 / loss $1,563)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -7.1060/15
Sortino -6.6620/10
$-0.1541 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1073 (86 markets)7.1/10
5/24 profitable days (21%)0/10
Max DD 237628% of peak ($1,283 / $1)0/10

Badges

4
Lottery Player
69% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 7.6 entries/market
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🏗️Market Maker
74% maker orders

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,637,874$-2,141Vol: $132,010
📈 ECONOMICS#662,999$-88Vol: $26,061
CRYPTO#1,401,627$-48Vol: $1,631
SPORTS#1,686,437$-98Vol: $1,628
💰 FINANCE#56,058$10Vol: $281
🎭 CULTURE#537,320$-1Vol: $220
🌤️ WEATHER#132,055$0Vol: $5
📢 MENTIONS#47,113$0Vol: $3

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,411
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$161,878
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
92
total markets
Trades
800B / 152S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~42d

Periods

#2
Today
$6
Vol: $0
Week
$21
Vol: $3,706
Month
$128
Vol: $32,889
All Time
$-2,411
Vol: $161,878

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
45%
39W / 47L events
Realized PnL
$-2,536
Win Rate
45%
39W / 47L
Profit Factor
0.18x
Avg Win
$7
Avg Loss
$-36

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $183 (0.07222811451462186% of PnL)

Top Winners

Lighter Airdrop on December 30?$73
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?$68
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$11
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$9
Wild vs. Jets$5
76ers vs. Bulls$5
Pistons vs. Trail Blazers$5
Bucks vs. Pacers$4
Bruins vs. Sabres$4

Top Losers

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$-417
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$-300
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$-120
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$-100
No airdrop in 2025?$-83
Military action against Iran ends on April 14, 2026?$-52
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$-52
Military action against Iran ends on April 12, 2026?$-51
Military action against Iran ends on April 13, 2026?$-50
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?$-50

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.364
Sortino
-0.322
HHI
450
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.276
Kelly %
11.2%
Half-Kelly
5.6%
Top-1 market
14.8%
Top-5 markets
38.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
42.5m
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
7.19
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
14.0

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 64s — normal for humanCV 7.19 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern20/24 hours — extended activity4 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal74% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.63
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)69.4%
Mid (20-55c)1.6%
High (>55c)29%

Sessions

#12
6/3/2026, 2:26:55 PM46 trades$10,48532 min
4/7/2026, 6:04:23 AM13 trades$2,1310 min
4/8/2026, 8:17:59 AM17 trades$2,0277 min
12/31/2025, 5:32:53 AM2 trades$1,9990 min
4/2/2026, 5:39:43 AM8 trades$1,4473 min
5/30/2026, 6:24:04 AM2 trades$1,2500 min
3/20/2026, 2:49:09 PM1 trades$1,1260 min
12/30/2025, 7:05:03 AM1 trades$1,0000 min
12/30/2025, 3:52:23 PM1 trades$1,0000 min
3/20/2026, 10:15:49 AM12 trades$7665 min
8/12/2026, 6:22:37 AM55 trades$4975 min
5/1/2026, 7:49:40 AM2 trades$4900 min
7/9/2026, 1:56:28 PM4 trades$4180 min
7/17/2026, 5:12:21 AM3 trades$4170 min
6/4/2026, 11:39:57 AM1 trades$3910 min
4/7/2026, 11:02:13 PM1 trades$2920 min
4/7/2026, 10:50:11 PM2 trades$2900 min
4/8/2026, 12:33:17 PM19 trades$26810 min
6/15/2026, 2:08:40 PM10 trades$2593 min
12/19/2025, 1:48:34 PM2 trades$2401 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-16
12-22
12-29
04-02
05-26
06-13

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 224 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
16% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.63/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L69.4 / M1.6 / H29