@BleatingWeasel

#2,852,5188

0xb2646a7dce9a70a3ae0e89f7fbf6849ca0caeb03

~19d· 95 markets · 309 tradesVol: $43,7592026-08-06 15:53:51
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

8
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

11% (8/76)0/20
0.60x (win $1,205 / loss $1,999)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.8770/15
Sortino -7.8260/10
$-0.5190 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 916 (76 markets)7.9/10
1/15 profitable days (7%)0/10
Max DD 373% of peak ($1,084 / $290)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
74% entries < $0.20

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#1,569,946$-230Vol: $31,652
⚽ SPORTS#1,721,035$-155Vol: $7,629
📈 ECONOMICS#618,838$-16Vol: $3,252
💰 FINANCE#632,037$-90Vol: $1,059
📢 MENTIONS#128,407$-10Vol: $167

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-500
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$43,759
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
95
total markets
Trades
117B / 192S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~19d

Periods

#2
Today
$5
Vol: $0
Week
$-54
Vol: $357
Month
$1
Vol: $357
All Time
$-500
Vol: $43,759

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
11%
8W / 68L events
Realized PnL
$-500
Win Rate
11%
8W / 68L
Profit Factor
0.6x
Avg Win
$151
Avg Loss
$-32

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $856 (1.710191846522782% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$540
Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?$202
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?$114
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?$113
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?$98
Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?$51
Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?$51
Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?$36

Top Losers

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$-400
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?$-120
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of June 15 2026?$-83
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?$-60
Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?$-60
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 Week of June 15 2026?$-59
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-40
Will Senegal vs. Iraq end in a draw?$-40
Will New Zealand vs. Belgium end in a draw?$-40
Will Panama vs. England end in a draw?$-40

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.348
Sortino
-0.464
HHI
267
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.618
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.1%
Top-5 markets
24.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
13/24
Extended
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
24s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.99
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
27
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.4

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 24s — normal for humanCV 0.99 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern13/24 hours — normal schedule3 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal36% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.36
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)73.5%
Mid (20-55c)26.5%
High (>55c)0%

Sessions

#12
7/30/2026, 5:32:23 PM24 trades$3,5208 min
7/28/2026, 7:33:00 AM29 trades$3,0037 min
7/20/2026, 1:57:36 PM2 trades$1,4290 min
6/22/2026, 12:27:31 PM44 trades$1,2404 min
6/10/2026, 10:58:30 AM28 trades$1,1109 min
6/16/2026, 12:48:31 PM12 trades$1,0051 min
7/18/2026, 8:38:43 AM22 trades$9808 min
7/31/2026, 4:43:33 AM10 trades$9513 min
7/19/2026, 6:14:15 PM12 trades$9366 min
6/16/2026, 9:04:39 AM32 trades$8233 min
6/16/2026, 11:45:10 AM16 trades$6418 min
6/12/2026, 9:41:43 AM2 trades$5880 min
7/22/2026, 6:01:16 AM4 trades$4940 min
7/20/2026, 10:38:45 AM2 trades$4440 min
6/24/2026, 8:52:07 AM13 trades$4141 min
6/10/2026, 11:13:18 AM10 trades$3563 min
6/22/2026, 5:41:20 AM11 trades$2681 min
7/19/2026, 6:56:22 AM7 trades$2543 min
7/21/2026, 12:08:46 PM8 trades$1650 min
6/14/2026, 9:00:48 AM2 trades$1110 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-10
06-10
06-14
06-22
07-18
07-21
07-28
07-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 51 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
62.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.36/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L73.5 / M26.5 / H0