IceFrosst

@IceFrosst

#141,14752

0xb2ca88cd9c431a0f1223029088beb0cf4f035fb0

~174d· 274 markets · 2821 tradesVol: $964,752 @IceFrosst2026-08-05 15:50:57
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

52
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

68% (177/262)18.8/20
1.11x (win $58,939 / loss $53,256)3.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.2775.2/15
Sortino 0.3303.3/10
$+0.0213 per $1 invested1.1/10
HHI 289 (262 markets)10/10
82/117 profitable days (70%)10/10
Max DD 120% of peak ($29,992 / $25,066)0/10

Badges

9
Sniper
Win rate 68%
Profitable
PnL $+459
DCA Master
Avg 11.6 entries/market
Whale
$266,176 invested
Consistent
82/117 profitable days
High Roller
$1,210/day
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
82% maker orders

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#6,880$4,431Vol: $619,561
CRYPTO#1,666,357$-4,244Vol: $189,091
💰 FINANCE#3,204$1,421Vol: $71,578
📈 ECONOMICS#5,288$419Vol: $52,062
💻 TECH#257,294$-777Vol: $23,942
📢 MENTIONS#175,288$-1,028Vol: $4,357
🎭 CULTURE#21,274$98Vol: $2,670
SPORTS#1,187,160$-4Vol: $1,442

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$321
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$964,752
Total Redeem
$1,811
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
274
total markets
Trades
1808B / 1013S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~174d

Periods

#2
Today
$-61
Vol: $1,158
Week
$-84
Vol: $1,991
Month
$-159
Vol: $2,516
All Time
$321
Vol: $964,752

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
68%
177W / 85L events
Realized PnL
$459
Win Rate
68%
177W / 85L
Profit Factor
1.11x
Avg Win
$333
Avg Loss
$-666

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $22,528 (49.094623749645876% of PnL)

Top Winners

US government shutdown Saturday?$18,143
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?$2,228
Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?$2,157
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$2,021
Government shutdown on Saturday?$1,814
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?$1,739
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?$1,699
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$1,644
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?$1,412
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$1,168

Top Losers

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-19,212
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?$-6,818
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in February?$-3,807
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?$-1,932
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?$-1,730
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?$-1,570
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in February?$-1,500
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?$-1,088
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?$-985
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$-970

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.014
Sortino
0.010
HHI
249
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.020
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.5%
Top-5 markets
26.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
12.8
Active
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.41
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.3

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 324s — normal for humanCV 2.41 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock13 trades/day — very active1.2 markets/day — normal82% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
11.58
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)11.3%
Mid (20-55c)21.2%
High (>55c)67.5%

Sessions

#12
1/29/2026, 10:06:12 AM1 trades$19,6420 min
2/24/2026, 7:49:08 PM6 trades$11,1138 min
2/22/2026, 10:23:30 AM10 trades$11,06918 min
2/27/2026, 10:04:21 AM3 trades$10,0145 min
2/27/2026, 10:26:41 AM16 trades$9,96016 min
1/30/2026, 3:58:52 PM15 trades$9,9371 min
2/14/2026, 4:49:39 AM9 trades$8,1553 min
2/24/2026, 5:13:00 PM2 trades$8,0102 min
1/29/2026, 7:50:58 PM1 trades$6,3780 min
2/19/2026, 8:06:22 PM3 trades$6,0854 min
2/24/2026, 7:27:10 PM1 trades$5,7760 min
2/23/2026, 7:32:16 PM8 trades$5,2828 min
1/30/2026, 4:04:24 PM5 trades$5,0550 min
2/27/2026, 10:52:41 AM7 trades$4,9154 min
2/13/2026, 3:58:49 PM35 trades$4,36429 min
2/18/2026, 10:12:52 PM3 trades$4,0773 min
2/13/2026, 3:48:09 PM6 trades$3,7691 min
1/16/2026, 8:37:20 AM13 trades$3,71513 min
2/25/2026, 8:34:04 PM9 trades$3,6334 min
2/24/2026, 6:31:36 PM4 trades$3,5082 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-28
02-06
02-27
03-31
05-04
06-08
07-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 1 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.58/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L11.3 / M21.2 / H67.5