@0xb30F96feE2db63f158dE9139A1717133cDA01391-1778163263704

#2,521,9285

0xb30f96fee2db63f158de9139a1717133cda01391

~42d· 211 markets · 1039 tradesVol: $69,1262026-08-02 06:24:50
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

5
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

29% (32/112)0/20
0.47x (win $21 / loss $46)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.3300/15
Sortino -5.2810/10
$-0.0449 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1480 (112 markets)5.1/10
8/31 profitable days (26%)0/10
Max DD 404% of peak ($33 / $8)0/10

Badges

1
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,437,146$-37Vol: $54,731
💰 FINANCE#562,478$-8Vol: $4,453
📈 ECONOMICS#439,507$-1Vol: $4,236
💻 TECH#191,449$-1Vol: $2,005
SPORTS#996,084$-1Vol: $1,046
🎭 CULTURE#551,675$-1Vol: $1,021
CRYPTO#1,083,967$-7Vol: $848
🌤️ WEATHER#238,750$-8Vol: $643
📢 MENTIONS#148,048$-27Vol: $55

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-94
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$69,126
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
211
total markets
Trades
479B / 560S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~42d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $5
Week
$1
Vol: $5
Month
$-0
Vol: $9
All Time
$-94
Vol: $69,126

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
29%
32W / 80L events
Realized PnL
$-94
Win Rate
29%
32W / 80L
Profit Factor
0.47x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-2

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $15 (0.15697921086126432% of PnL)

Top Winners

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$11
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 8?$2
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 8?$1
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$1
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?$1
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$1
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?$1
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$1

Top Losers

Will Trump post "Football" on Truth Social this week?$-7
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?$-6
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-4
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?$-3
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$-2
Trump out as President by June 30?$-2
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?$-2
Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?$-2
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?$-2
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.223
Sortino
-0.258
HHI
60
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.088
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.6%
Top-5 markets
13%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
13.7
Active
Markets / Day
2.8
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
2s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.82
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
16.5

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
57% gaps < 3s — suspicious speedCV 0.82 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours23/24 hours — around the clock14 trades/day — very active2.8 markets/day — normal46% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.04
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)25.1%
Mid (20-55c)6.7%
High (>55c)68.3%

Sessions

#12
6/27/2026, 1:17:25 PM131 trades$1,7282 min
6/29/2026, 3:07:40 PM85 trades$1,4121 min
7/2/2026, 6:48:05 AM15 trades$5530 min
6/19/2026, 12:00:13 PM51 trades$2710 min
6/18/2026, 2:54:46 PM43 trades$1271 min
5/19/2026, 8:02:40 AM97 trades$881 min
7/7/2026, 4:52:25 AM14 trades$300 min
7/10/2026, 2:29:32 PM8 trades$304 min
7/1/2026, 2:03:34 PM37 trades$2812 min
6/3/2026, 9:34:15 AM6 trades$263 min
6/18/2026, 7:22:56 AM22 trades$250 min
7/23/2026, 3:17:34 AM10 trades$250 min
6/1/2026, 6:48:07 AM22 trades$251 min
7/1/2026, 5:43:40 PM25 trades$231 min
6/22/2026, 12:00:31 PM15 trades$210 min
7/3/2026, 5:31:20 PM6 trades$200 min
6/16/2026, 11:21:13 AM20 trades$200 min
6/18/2026, 3:06:56 AM19 trades$200 min
7/8/2026, 9:04:37 AM2 trades$140 min
6/29/2026, 3:13:58 PM19 trades$140 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-19
06-12
06-21
06-27
07-03
07-10
07-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 44 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
12% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
53.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.04/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L25.1 / M6.7 / H68.3