@0xb315D3…1417
#78,807690xb315d3f3bf6a43583c8b101e7bcb8661430d92e1
~12d· 43 markets · 183 tradesVol: $23,5842026-09-10 23:02:05
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
69
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
30% (10/33)0.2/20
3.80x (win $2,809 / loss $739)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.16915/15
Sortino 37.78110/10
$+1.7219 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 749 (33 markets)8.8/10
3/9 profitable days (33%)0.8/10
Max DD 24% of peak ($663 / $2,732)9.1/10
Badges
3Profitable
PnL $+1,096
Lottery Player
87% entries < $0.20
Cool Head
Max DD 24%
Categories
4💰 FINANCE#4,122$1,049Vol: $19,546
💻 TECH#249,238$-27Vol: $2,004
🏛️ POLITICS#63,235$105Vol: $1,853
🎭 CULTURE#754,276$-31Vol: $181
Overview
#1Net PnL
$1,097
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$23,584
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
43
total markets
Trades
115B / 68S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~12d
Periods
#2Today
$3
Vol: $0
Week
$-12
Vol: $0
Month
$-7
Vol: $1,663
All Time
$1,097
Vol: $23,584
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
30%
10W / 23L events
Realized PnL
$1,096
Win Rate
30%
10W / 23L
Profit Factor
3.8x
Avg Win
$281
Avg Loss
$-32
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,614 (2.3835911279731503% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$1,743
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$751
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$120
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$102
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?$35
Claude 4.7 released by June 30?$20
Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Exam?$18
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$15
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?$4
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$1
Top Losers
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?$-243
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$-60
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$-53
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$-40
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$-40
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$-40
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?$-38
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$-26
Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$-26
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?$-20
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.255
Sortino
2.573
HHI
728
Moderate
EV per $1
$1.790
Kelly %
16.3%
Half-Kelly
8.2%
Top-1 market
18.1%
Top-5 markets
51.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
11/24
Normal
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
14s
between trades
Avg Gap
38.5m
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.62
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
17
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.8
Bot Detection
#610
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 14s — suspiciously fastCV 1.62 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours11/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal16% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 19:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
6
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)87%
Mid (20-55c)7%
High (>55c)6.1%
Sessions
#122/6/2026, 7:55:51 PM6 trades$1,4412 min
4/13/2026, 7:14:15 PM53 trades$83313 min
4/18/2026, 9:45:52 PM37 trades$6041 min
9/5/2026, 1:22:46 PM24 trades$4281 min
2/1/2026, 12:03:40 AM2 trades$3600 min
2/1/2026, 12:24:12 AM11 trades$2648 min
4/26/2026, 10:28:38 AM5 trades$2310 min
3/24/2026, 8:32:35 PM7 trades$1602 min
3/1/2026, 6:02:43 AM1 trades$1500 min
4/24/2026, 6:11:18 PM6 trades$1010 min
2/1/2026, 11:26:52 PM4 trades$904 min
4/15/2026, 6:58:28 PM2 trades$610 min
3/1/2026, 8:35:19 AM1 trades$500 min
2/1/2026, 12:18:08 AM2 trades$450 min
4/19/2026, 4:48:34 AM19 trades$381 min
2/1/2026, 12:37:54 AM1 trades$300 min
2/11/2026, 10:59:49 AM2 trades$290 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-01
02-06
03-01
03-24
04-13
04-18
04-19
04-24
04-26
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 56 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L87 / M7 / H6.1