@12beduins
#120,606170xb34b8c547021b42367fe15e38ec47732135a5d0e
~122d· 118 markets · 3868 tradesVol: $247,3332026-08-04 19:58:22
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
17
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
40% (38/94)5.2/20
0.62x (win $12,561 / loss $20,106)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.9690/15
Sortino -2.0580/10
$-0.1421 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 358 (94 markets)10/10
20/52 profitable days (38%)2.1/10
Max DD 687% of peak ($10,456 / $1,523)0/10
Badges
4Profitable
PnL $+458
Whale
$53,103 invested
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
82% maker orders
Categories
5🏛️ POLITICS#17,685$1,023Vol: $190,884
📈 ECONOMICS#9,638$156Vol: $29,216
💰 FINANCE#651,859$-646Vol: $18,152
🎭 CULTURE#690,061$-10Vol: $4,135
₿ CRYPTO#1,281,412$-22Vol: $2,414
Overview
#1Net PnL
$458
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$247,333
Total Redeem
$30
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
118
total markets
Trades
3032B / 836S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~122d
Periods
#2Today
$-134
Vol: $215
Week
$-105
Vol: $2,319
Month
$-117
Vol: $2,424
All Time
$458
Vol: $247,333
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
40%
37W / 56L events
Realized PnL
$458
Win Rate
40%
37W / 56L
Profit Factor
0.62x
Avg Win
$331
Avg Loss
$-372
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,073 (13.262551044919528% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$2,267
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?$1,959
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$1,848
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$896
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$686
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$512
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$461
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?$408
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$356
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?$315
Top Losers
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$-8,240
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$-2,588
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$-990
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?$-890
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$-831
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-538
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?$-483
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?$-469
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$-461
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?$-383
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.102
Sortino
-0.085
HHI
601
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.117
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14.2%
Top-5 markets
42.5%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
30.0
Active
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.82
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.3
Bot Detection
#640
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 535s — normal for humanCV 1.82 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock30 trades/day — high frequency0.9 markets/day — normal82% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 15:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
45.83
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)14.1%
Mid (20-55c)19.4%
High (>55c)66.5%
Sessions
#127/5/2026, 10:14:23 PM14 trades$3,1743 min
7/1/2026, 4:17:59 PM7 trades$2,0371 min
5/30/2026, 5:02:52 AM12 trades$1,7559 min
7/8/2026, 3:04:19 PM22 trades$1,3207 min
4/29/2026, 10:45:16 PM25 trades$1,3097 min
5/25/2026, 5:04:37 AM7 trades$1,2975 min
5/8/2026, 3:17:46 PM5 trades$1,1200 min
5/22/2026, 9:28:58 PM27 trades$1,11819 min
5/3/2026, 5:52:24 AM3 trades$1,1000 min
6/3/2026, 11:26:25 PM3 trades$1,0950 min
7/5/2026, 11:27:50 PM4 trades$1,0150 min
6/20/2026, 1:37:38 PM15 trades$9947 min
6/27/2026, 1:05:22 AM16 trades$97512 min
7/31/2026, 3:07:38 PM3 trades$9550 min
5/1/2026, 2:32:52 PM56 trades$80650 min
4/15/2026, 11:18:26 PM24 trades$8046 min
5/30/2026, 3:38:56 PM8 trades$7924 min
7/13/2026, 3:07:56 PM2 trades$7760 min
7/9/2026, 11:27:52 PM8 trades$7467 min
6/20/2026, 1:24:02 PM18 trades$7388 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-29
04-14
05-03
05-15
05-25
06-20
07-16
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 33 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
21.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 45.83/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L14.1 / M19.4 / H66.5