@caviaro

#21,18595

0xb36b96950b467e10fd4f5504fd659ec9961e7804

~268d· 828 markets · 133864 tradesVol: $27,621,587 @CKontad2026-08-02 04:05:09
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

95
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

68% (492/727)18.8/20
2.69x (win $36,684 / loss $13,619)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.10315/15
Sortino 7.29810/10
$+0.1869 per $1 invested9.3/10
HHI 383 (727 markets)10/10
96/170 profitable days (56%)6.6/10
Max DD 15% of peak ($3,570 / $23,064)10/10

Badges

9
Sniper
Win rate 68%
Profitable
PnL $+6,260
Lottery Player
84% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 47.1 entries/market
Whale
$123,389 invested
Cool Head
Max DD 15%
Win Streak
17 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
98% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#7,297$4,030Vol: $19,602,438
SPORTS#24,261$1,802Vol: $4,935,186
📈 ECONOMICS#62,120$4Vol: $1,686,514
🎭 CULTURE#8,200$473Vol: $834,586
💰 FINANCE#623,761$-67Vol: $527,590
CRYPTO#1,368,969$-44Vol: $29,686
💻 TECH#14,986$15Vol: $3,577
🌤️ WEATHER#47,622$2Vol: $518
📢 MENTIONS#22,745$7Vol: $180

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$6,260
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$27,621,587
Total Redeem
$238
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
828
total markets
Trades
119760B / 14104S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~268d

Periods

#2
Today
$11
Vol: $0
Week
$32
Vol: $0
Month
$-19
Vol: $0
All Time
$6,260
Vol: $27,621,587

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
68%
492W / 235L events
Realized PnL
$6,260
Win Rate
68%
492W / 235L
Profit Factor
2.69x
Avg Win
$75
Avg Loss
$-60

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $24,314 (3.884295447828553% of PnL)

Top Winners

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$11,850
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8,952
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?$3,512
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?$2,753
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?$954
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?$900
Will England win on 2026-06-17?$767
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$565
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$493
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$373

Top Losers

Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?$-3,517
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?$-2,800
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$-1,057
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$-1,014
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?$-674
Will Mallorca win on 2025-11-29?$-442
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$-251
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins$-228
Will federal employees receive back pay after the government shutdown?$-194
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-192

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.110
Sortino
0.260
HHI
222
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.239
Kelly %
33.3%
Half-Kelly
16.7%
Top-1 market
9.3%
Top-5 markets
27.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
478.1
Very active
Markets / Day
3.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.4m
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
15.29
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
24 min
Avg Trades / Session
53.8

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 64s — normal for humanCV 15.29 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock478 trades/day — automation3.0 markets/day — normal98% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
47.13
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)83.7%
Mid (20-55c)0.2%
High (>55c)16.1%

Sessions

#12
12/7/2025, 5:52:21 PM52 trades$6,19037 min
12/7/2025, 5:18:39 PM23 trades$5,86421 min
12/7/2025, 3:37:33 PM41 trades$5,83238 min
4/28/2026, 1:25:02 PM320 trades$5,74029 min
5/3/2026, 4:48:56 PM190 trades$5,613153 min
6/22/2026, 6:40:05 PM271 trades$5,28612 min
5/30/2026, 5:44:30 PM116 trades$4,78065 min
6/16/2026, 8:31:39 AM12 trades$3,7296 min
6/21/2026, 5:10:40 PM142 trades$3,548112 min
6/6/2026, 11:59:54 AM54 trades$3,42645 min
6/14/2026, 6:53:22 PM100 trades$3,07290 min
6/16/2026, 7:35:52 PM11 trades$3,0536 min
6/10/2026, 9:54:49 PM395 trades$3,05338 min
6/21/2026, 7:15:28 PM90 trades$2,64986 min
2/28/2026, 7:35:37 PM5 trades$2,5853 min
6/21/2026, 4:24:38 PM35 trades$2,50138 min
6/20/2026, 12:28:25 AM13 trades$2,1667 min
12/7/2025, 5:01:31 PM6 trades$2,0827 min
6/22/2026, 2:04:59 PM24 trades$2,0457 min
3/31/2026, 6:24:51 PM26 trades$1,9562 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-25
11-29
01-09
02-11
03-13
04-30
07-10

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 5 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
10.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 47.13/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L83.7 / M0.2 / H16.1