Steve-Haines

@Steve-Haines

#4,44289

0xb37aa8834f9baefc6fb3312f59df8ddf0348f1b1

~131d· 481 markets · 7130 tradesVol: $1,724,3172026-08-01 22:12:51
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

89
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

56% (255/453)13.1/20
2.60x (win $140,492 / loss $54,059)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.57315/15
Sortino 17.41210/10
$+0.1638 per $1 invested8.2/10
HHI 130 (453 markets)10/10
70/116 profitable days (60%)7.6/10
Max DD 8% of peak ($6,581 / $86,433)10/10

Badges

8
Profitable
PnL $+40,449
DCA Master
Avg 14.9 entries/market
Whale
$527,753 invested
Consistent
70/116 profitable days
High Roller
$3,968/day
Cool Head
Max DD 8%
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,578$29,813Vol: $1,017,317
SPORTS#13,842$3,189Vol: $363,387
🎭 CULTURE#23,566$80Vol: $138,546
💰 FINANCE#2,858$1,623Vol: $76,610
💻 TECH#1,603$811Vol: $35,848
CRYPTO#117,119$61Vol: $32,726
📢 MENTIONS#914$1,522Vol: $23,016
🌤️ WEATHER#2,916$421Vol: $22,412
📈 ECONOMICS#12,123$105Vol: $12,701

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$38,649
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,724,317
Total Redeem
$8,152
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
481
total markets
Trades
4217B / 2913S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~131d

Periods

#2
Today
$-2,178
Vol: $23,232
Week
$-3,071
Vol: $114,164
Month
$-2,178
Vol: $23,232
All Time
$38,649
Vol: $1,724,317

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
56%
255W / 198L events
Realized PnL
$40,449
Win Rate
56%
255W / 198L
Profit Factor
2.6x
Avg Win
$551
Avg Loss
$-289

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $43,422 (1.073500915473354% of PnL)

Top Winners

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$24,654
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$10,111
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?$8,658
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?$6,325
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?$5,968
France vs. England: O/U 6.5$4,800
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by July 31, 2026?$4,676
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?$4,304
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?$4,075
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?$3,352

Top Losers

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$-4,437
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by June 30, 2026?$-4,435
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$-3,894
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?$-3,655
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?$-2,936
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$-2,325
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$-1,697
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$-1,530
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$-1,461
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?$-1,268

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.238
Sortino
0.685
HHI
132
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.176
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6%
Top-5 markets
18.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
53.6
Very active
Markets / Day
3.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
51.9m
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.19
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
13.6

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 320s — normal for humanCV 3.19 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock54 trades/day — mass trading3.6 markets/day — normal54% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
14.87
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)19.2%
Mid (20-55c)13%
High (>55c)67.9%

Sessions

#12
7/20/2026, 6:52:19 PM2 trades$12,7950 min
7/8/2026, 5:45:17 PM28 trades$11,6614 min
7/31/2026, 9:39:32 PM26 trades$9,2770 min
6/12/2026, 8:06:13 AM57 trades$8,7351 min
6/7/2026, 12:02:46 AM39 trades$8,54323 min
7/30/2026, 12:04:29 AM24 trades$7,3495 min
8/1/2026, 1:42:38 AM9 trades$7,0034 min
7/15/2026, 11:56:02 PM22 trades$6,6882 min
7/25/2026, 12:00:28 AM2 trades$6,1250 min
7/20/2026, 12:11:54 AM7 trades$5,9400 min
7/31/2026, 10:03:35 PM19 trades$5,6151 min
6/5/2026, 12:15:52 AM9 trades$5,5094 min
7/6/2026, 11:39:14 PM6 trades$5,4530 min
7/16/2026, 3:04:16 AM5 trades$5,3093 min
7/27/2026, 6:00:39 PM6 trades$5,2220 min
5/23/2026, 1:31:21 PM5 trades$5,0811 min
7/20/2026, 4:10:01 PM3 trades$5,0000 min
7/27/2026, 3:35:39 PM12 trades$4,8354 min
7/24/2026, 10:48:43 PM42 trades$4,71213 min
5/12/2026, 10:45:08 PM8 trades$4,5880 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-23
04-11
05-05
05-26
06-14
07-06
07-30
08-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 2 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 14.87/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L19.2 / M13 / H67.9