@0xb4ce…6bc2

#2,641,61315

0xb4cefc5909430280d22780345ad0334e95be6bc2

~24d· 73 markets · 155 tradesVol: $2,4802026-08-26 09:13:04
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

15
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

36% (25/70)2.9/20
0.77x (win $484 / loss $630)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.9090/15
Sortino -5.7800/10
$-0.2147 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 222 (70 markets)10/10
8/21 profitable days (38%)2/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($146 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Contrarian
76% entries < $0.55

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-122
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,480
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
73
total markets
Trades
76B / 79S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~24d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
36%
25W / 45L events
Realized PnL
$-122
Win Rate
36%
25W / 45L
Profit Factor
0.77x
Avg Win
$19
Avg Loss
$-20

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $212 (1.7307912609442762% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?$109
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?$57
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 1.5$45
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$39
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 4.5$36
Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 1.5$28
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5$23
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?$22
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?$19
Panama vs. England: O/U 2.5$16

Top Losers

Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 1.5$-49
Spread: Spain (-1.5)$-44
Spread: Spain (-2.5)$-44
Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 2.5$-43
Spread: Morocco (-2.5)$-22
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)$-21
Spread: Morocco (-3.5)$-21
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?$-21
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?$-21
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 2.5$-21

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.302
Sortino
-0.234
HHI
168
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.219
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.6%
Top-5 markets
16.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.6h
between trades
Night Trading
56%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.44
Moderate
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.0

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 492s — normal for humanCV 0.44 — uniform order sizes55% night trades — never sleeps20/24 hours — extended activity2 trades/day — normal1.1 markets/day — normal49% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.13
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5.3%
Mid (20-55c)71.1%
High (>55c)23.7%

Sessions

#12
6/26/2026, 2:15:35 AM4 trades$1730 min
6/25/2026, 3:42:04 AM10 trades$13616 min
6/25/2026, 2:44:43 AM9 trades$1268 min
6/25/2026, 1:43:17 AM6 trades$1256 min
6/24/2026, 2:44:35 PM6 trades$1160 min
6/25/2026, 12:40:22 AM4 trades$1104 min
6/24/2026, 3:32:32 PM6 trades$10810 min
6/25/2026, 2:03:56 AM4 trades$685 min
6/26/2026, 3:05:01 AM4 trades$574 min
6/26/2026, 2:00:35 AM4 trades$514 min
6/24/2026, 9:36:05 PM4 trades$510 min
6/24/2026, 11:05:16 PM6 trades$4610 min
6/25/2026, 2:59:50 AM6 trades$469 min
6/25/2026, 6:03:58 AM2 trades$380 min
6/25/2026, 3:16:17 AM2 trades$370 min
8/5/2026, 12:40:32 PM2 trades$330 min
6/25/2026, 9:51:14 AM3 trades$330 min
6/26/2026, 2:10:23 AM2 trades$330 min
6/26/2026, 12:04:43 AM2 trades$320 min
6/25/2026, 8:51:34 AM2 trades$250 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-24
06-27
07-22
07-28
08-02
08-05
08-13

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.13/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L5.3 / M71.1 / H23.7