alpheclabs

@alpheclabs

#3,070,99323

0xb4d250f58c26840e09723a83ce9c8149aa32ce99

~161d· 15352 markets · 144427 tradesVol: $62,850,1072026-08-02 01:30:13
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

23
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

48% (7274/15179)9/20
0.89x (win $2,214,348 / loss $2,493,426)1.1/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.5430/15
Sortino -3.1580/10
$-0.0166 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 7 (15179 markets)10/10
66/160 profitable days (41%)2.8/10
Max DD 1930% of peak ($382,403 / $19,818)0/10

Badges

7
Contrarian
58% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 9.4 entries/market
Whale
$16,826,650 invested
High Roller
$40,159/day
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
77% maker orders

Categories

5
SPORTS#1,884,206$-335,710Vol: $43,886,008
🏛️ POLITICS#1,614,666$-1,076Vol: $262,808
🎭 CULTURE#816,303$-20,401Vol: $33,951
CRYPTO#1,488,455$-118Vol: $17,156
📈 ECONOMICS#675,545$-566Vol: $1,445

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-678,421
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$62,850,107
Total Redeem
$76,226
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
15352
total markets
Trades
111107B / 33320S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~161d

Periods

#2
Today
$2,957
Vol: $33,693
Week
$-290
Vol: $33,693
Month
$17,467
Vol: $841,919
All Time
$-678,421
Vol: $62,850,107

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
48%
7262W / 7901L events
Realized PnL
$-678,421
Win Rate
48%
7262W / 7901L
Profit Factor
0.89x
Avg Win
$304
Avg Loss
$-317

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $98,116 (0.14462388063736323% of PnL)

Top Winners

Lexus Eastbourne Open: Zizou Bergs vs Ugo Humbert$49,070
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$24,858
France vs. Iraq: France O/U 2.5$24,188
Will CF América win on 2026-07-18?$19,293
Algeria vs. Austria: Algeria O/U 2.5$15,855
Exact Score: Panama 0 - 1 Croatia?$13,497
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI$12,767
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany O/U 1.5$12,470
UFC Fight Night: Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres (Lightweight, Main Card)$12,321
NBA Summer League: New York Knicks vs. Detroit Pistons$11,166

Top Losers

Spread: Germany (-5.5)$-29,857
Will Goiás EC win on 2026-07-12?$-23,323
England vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 2.5$-21,405
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 1.5$-21,389
Egypt vs. IR Iran: Egypt O/U 1.5$-19,660
England vs. Ghana: England O/U 2.5$-18,400
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$-17,393
Croatia Open: Alex Molcan vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina$-14,771
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner$-14,469
ODI Series Zimbabwe vs Bangladesh: Zimbabwe vs Bangladesh$-13,720

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.133
Sortino
-0.147
HHI
6
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.017
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.6%
Top-5 markets
2.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
344.7
Very active
Markets / Day
36.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
18s
between trades
Avg Gap
2.7m
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.33
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
131 min
Avg Trades / Session
769.9

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 18s — normal for humanCV 4.33 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock345 trades/day — automation37 markets/day — mass coverage77% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.45
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)19.8%
Mid (20-55c)37.9%
High (>55c)42.3%

Sessions

#12
6/28/2026, 1:59:49 AM2134 trades$410,745153 min
6/7/2026, 12:17:10 PM1983 trades$327,652357 min
6/26/2026, 6:45:29 PM1345 trades$325,137153 min
6/8/2026, 10:21:07 AM2108 trades$297,813634 min
6/21/2026, 10:00:46 PM1756 trades$287,745131 min
6/20/2026, 8:00:11 PM1433 trades$274,741127 min
7/9/2026, 9:08:47 PM1090 trades$223,16055 min
6/27/2026, 8:57:19 PM1647 trades$216,733125 min
6/21/2026, 7:04:01 PM959 trades$196,762121 min
6/21/2026, 4:54:22 PM634 trades$193,50876 min
6/20/2026, 5:00:28 PM813 trades$187,999123 min
6/17/2026, 7:51:49 PM1300 trades$186,795218 min
6/18/2026, 7:00:05 PM809 trades$178,739132 min
6/24/2026, 3:07:40 AM498 trades$177,41751 min
6/24/2026, 12:08:49 AM258 trades$174,76768 min
6/27/2026, 11:29:37 PM696 trades$165,920126 min
6/6/2026, 1:29:42 AM600 trades$165,236130 min
6/27/2026, 2:55:05 AM847 trades$163,667128 min
6/23/2026, 12:07:31 AM36 trades$158,16923 min
7/2/2026, 11:43:14 PM707 trades$157,615125 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-10
03-20
04-15
05-12
06-07
07-03
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 21 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
23.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.45/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L19.8 / M37.9 / H42.3