@HappyAlpha
680xb556417c2c4d1fed4723cb164668f7505557e040
~148d· 679 markets · 10594 trades2026-08-02 06:37:48
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
68
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
15% (98/647)0/20
2.12x (win $2,127 / loss $1,001)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.02915/15
Sortino 14.24710/10
$+0.7567 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 311 (647 markets)10/10
20/111 profitable days (18%)0/10
Max DD 28% of peak ($441 / $1,567)8.4/10
Badges
5Profitable
PnL $+56
Lottery Player
85% entries < $0.20
Cool Head
Max DD 28%
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
100% maker orders
Overview
#1Net PnL
$56
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,488
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
679
total markets
Trades
9437B / 1157S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~148d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
15%
98W / 549L events
Realized PnL
$56
Win Rate
15%
98W / 549L
Profit Factor
2.12x
Avg Win
$22
Avg Loss
$-2
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,020 (36.153185397279884% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Bulgaria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$1,997
Will Italy win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?$12
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?$11
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 8, 2026?$9
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on March 16?$8
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?$7
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?$7
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 9?$6
Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the March meeting?$5
Will Sweden win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$4
Top Losers
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on March 14?$-14
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$-10
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia?$-9
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 14?$-9
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?$-9
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?$-8
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?$-8
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?$-7
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy?$-7
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-7
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.054
Sortino
0.912
HHI
24
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.795
Kelly %
7.2%
Half-Kelly
3.6%
Top-1 market
1.6%
Top-5 markets
5%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
62.3
Very active
Markets / Day
4.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
22.1m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.37
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
13 min
Avg Trades / Session
13.8
Bot Detection
#660
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 211s — normal for humanCV 2.37 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock62 trades/day — mass trading4.0 markets/day — normal100% maker — systematic market making
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 11:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
15.42
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)84.5%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)15.5%
Sessions
#124/28/2026, 6:29:52 PM6 trades$4054 min
4/28/2026, 2:40:40 PM9 trades$1042 min
5/12/2026, 8:16:00 PM13 trades$3815 min
3/8/2026, 6:14:25 PM5 trades$156 min
3/15/2026, 6:30:59 PM2 trades$150 min
5/28/2026, 2:25:42 PM9 trades$1212 min
3/13/2026, 12:21:55 PM54 trades$1242 min
3/13/2026, 3:43:15 PM23 trades$1122 min
3/14/2026, 12:55:45 AM7 trades$92 min
3/13/2026, 3:06:03 PM15 trades$928 min
3/15/2026, 4:33:13 PM2 trades$82 min
3/14/2026, 8:20:01 PM6 trades$88 min
4/28/2026, 9:51:36 PM19 trades$827 min
3/12/2026, 1:55:39 PM7 trades$812 min
3/24/2026, 9:06:43 AM65 trades$733 min
3/13/2026, 2:17:05 PM6 trades$79 min
3/30/2026, 10:48:51 PM1 trades$70 min
3/14/2026, 9:30:19 PM11 trades$723 min
3/14/2026, 10:28:03 PM5 trades$711 min
5/18/2026, 2:09:40 AM9 trades$617 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-13
03-04
03-23
05-02
05-20
06-07
07-26
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 76 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
10.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 15.42/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L84.5 / M0 / H15.5