@theta-thunberg
#3,684790xb7606d0d3719c88f9b868a13015881af5222ccd7
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
79
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
56% (422/750)13.1/20
1.95x (win $84,560 / loss $43,329)14.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.91815/15
Sortino 4.26010/10
$+0.0593 per $1 invested3/10
HHI 146 (750 markets)10/10
141/244 profitable days (58%)6.9/10
Max DD 37% of peak ($20,411 / $55,107)6.6/10
Badges
6Profitable
PnL $+47,720
DCA Master
Avg 6.5 entries/market
Whale
$694,711 invested
High Roller
$1,763/day
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
9🏛️ POLITICS#1,868$24,733Vol: $1,008,270
📈 ECONOMICS#800$7,167Vol: $223,240
💰 FINANCE#698$7,796Vol: $156,270
🎭 CULTURE#4,881$1,045Vol: $115,976
₿ CRYPTO#19,915$2,067Vol: $91,279
💻 TECH#858$1,955Vol: $62,083
⚽ SPORTS#107,977$127Vol: $29,688
🌤️ WEATHER#1,737$906Vol: $23,281
📢 MENTIONS#167,606$-165Vol: $17,099
Overview
#1Net PnL
$47,720
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,765,167
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
795
total markets
Trades
2713B / 2732S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~300d
Periods
#2Today
$678
Vol: $34,523
Week
$2,189
Vol: $34,523
Month
$825
Vol: $37,692
All Time
$47,720
Vol: $1,765,167
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
56%
422W / 328L events
Realized PnL
$47,720
Win Rate
56%
422W / 328L
Profit Factor
1.95x
Avg Win
$200
Avg Loss
$-135
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $32,471 (0.6804576398554724% of PnL)
Top Winners
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$19,482
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?$8,531
Will Andy Burnham – Labour win the Gorton and Denton by-election?$4,457
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?$3,758
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $7.00 on July 31, 2026?$3,624
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?$2,018
Prince Andrew released by February 19?$1,796
Will Claude go down 12+ times in April?$1,601
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$1,559
Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??$1,536
Top Losers
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$-7,001
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$-4,100
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-3,968
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$-2,174
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?$-2,131
ChatGPT Outage by March 15?$-1,490
AWS service disrupted by March 31?$-1,460
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026?$-1,443
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?$-1,192
US strikes Iran by Feb 28 Odds >30% by Friday?$-1,043
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.100
Sortino
0.150
HHI
154
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.066
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.5%
Top-5 markets
19.6%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
13.8
Active
Markets / Day
2.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
8%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.64
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.8
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 582s — normal for humanCV 4.65 — diverse sizes (human-like)8% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock14 trades/day — very active2.0 markets/day — normal50% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 20:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
6.52
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)21.9%
Mid (20-55c)23.3%
High (>55c)54.9%
Sessions
#123/4/2026, 6:38:09 PM2 trades$31,6404 min
3/12/2026, 6:39:25 PM1 trades$25,9740 min
7/5/2025, 4:44:55 AM1 trades$22,0730 min
6/25/2026, 3:08:10 PM39 trades$19,8825 min
4/8/2026, 8:55:17 PM12 trades$19,8002 min
7/19/2025, 10:01:52 PM8 trades$18,0001 min
7/19/2025, 8:12:22 PM1 trades$16,6740 min
9/18/2025, 3:57:58 PM3 trades$14,8773 min
6/24/2026, 11:51:46 AM8 trades$14,3580 min
4/23/2026, 8:53:40 PM20 trades$14,1160 min
10/10/2025, 5:54:38 PM26 trades$14,06422 min
7/20/2025, 12:02:19 PM3 trades$13,0071 min
8/2/2026, 2:09:05 AM20 trades$12,96720 min
8/2/2026, 3:16:27 AM5 trades$12,91914 min
7/19/2025, 7:08:48 PM1 trades$12,4920 min
5/22/2026, 2:07:58 PM30 trades$12,4130 min
6/24/2026, 3:24:55 PM10 trades$11,6760 min
7/30/2026, 11:11:14 AM3 trades$11,1665 min
1/3/2026, 1:22:33 AM2 trades$9,9701 min
1/28/2026, 5:29:26 PM1 trades$9,9300 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-05
09-04
10-22
12-12
02-18
04-05
07-28
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 23 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
50.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.52/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L21.9 / M23.3 / H54.9