@splintershurt

#2,511,56331

0xb82b0091b15bbee5a23b40f68317bbd73308f4ca

~44d· 1762 markets · 3238 tradesVol: $45,4422026-10-14 02:59:59
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

31
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

17% (299/1761)0/20
1.02x (win $213 / loss $209)2.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.2705.1/15
Sortino 0.3613.6/10
$+0.0011 per $1 invested0.1/10
HHI 37 (1761 markets)10/10
35/44 profitable days (80%)10/10
Max DD 353% of peak ($52 / $15)0/10

Badges

5
Lottery Player
90% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
0% sells
Consistent
35/44 profitable days
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
100% maker orders

Categories

1
₿ CRYPTO#1,459,540$-70Vol: $45,442

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-70
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$45,442
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1762
total markets
Trades
3235B / 3S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~44d

Periods

#2
Month
$1
Vol: $9
All Time
$-70
Vol: $45,442

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
17%
299W / 1462L events
Realized PnL
$-70
Win Rate
17%
299W / 1462L
Profit Factor
1.02x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $30 (0.4217211360068503% of PnL)

Top Winners

Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET$10
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$10
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$10
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$10
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$10
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$10
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$10
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$10
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$10
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$10

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$-20
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$-2
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$-0
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.014
Sortino
0.014
HHI
37
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.001
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.5%
Top-5 markets
2.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
34.4
Active
Markets / Day
18.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
21.7m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.25
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.3

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 288s — normal for humanCV 3.25 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock34 trades/day — high frequency19 markets/day — mass coverage100% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.84
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)90.5%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)9.5%

Sessions

#12
7/14/2026, 7:04:53 PM5 trades$395 min
7/16/2026, 6:04:53 PM2 trades$394 min
7/16/2026, 10:14:44 AM2 trades$394 min
7/26/2026, 1:50:15 PM2 trades$385 min
7/14/2026, 11:19:56 AM2 trades$200 min
7/14/2026, 9:39:17 AM1 trades$200 min
7/20/2026, 8:38:07 AM1 trades$200 min
7/19/2026, 7:00:22 PM1 trades$200 min
7/19/2026, 5:49:58 PM1 trades$200 min
7/13/2026, 6:44:58 PM1 trades$200 min
7/19/2026, 3:38:28 PM1 trades$200 min
7/13/2026, 4:44:01 PM1 trades$200 min
7/17/2026, 6:29:52 PM1 trades$200 min
7/17/2026, 7:29:04 PM1 trades$200 min
7/19/2026, 2:47:58 PM1 trades$200 min
7/15/2026, 4:29:53 PM1 trades$200 min
7/17/2026, 5:29:54 PM1 trades$200 min
7/10/2026, 2:39:52 PM1 trades$200 min
7/10/2026, 2:45:53 PM1 trades$200 min
7/13/2026, 2:20:37 PM1 trades$200 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-06
06-13
06-29
07-06
07-13
07-20
07-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 6 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.1% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.84/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L90.5 / M0 / H9.5