return-of-the-king

@return-of-the-king

#3,034,19362

0xb84ca5f197a73429f608842cd75ebbc7c578e169

~28d· 332 markets · 1887 tradesVol: $154,2182026-08-02 15:43:41
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

62
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

43% (50/117)6.4/20
1.28x (win $3,852 / loss $3,013)6/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.38815/15
Sortino 5.96210/10
$+0.0294 per $1 invested1.5/10
HHI 410 (117 markets)10/10
13/22 profitable days (59%)7.3/10
Max DD 40% of peak ($551 / $1,390)6.1/10

Badges

3
Diamond Hands
9% sells
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
91% maker orders

Categories

9
💰 FINANCE#652,312$-881Vol: $49,583
🏛️ POLITICS#1,608,041$-805Vol: $39,316
🎭 CULTURE#809,155$-863Vol: $22,184
⚽ SPORTS#1,821,494$-905Vol: $19,198
🌤️ WEATHER#292,019$-261Vol: $10,321
💻 TECH#250,231$-133Vol: $3,815
📈 ECONOMICS#660,097$-104Vol: $3,770
₿ CRYPTO#1,474,293$-104Vol: $1,657
📢 MENTIONS#169,182$-210Vol: $835

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-4,205
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$154,218
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
332
total markets
Trades
1723B / 164S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~28d

Periods

#2
Today
$-132
Vol: $4,263
Week
$-1,633
Vol: $4,263
Month
$-455
Vol: $12,223
All Time
$-4,205
Vol: $154,218

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
43%
50W / 67L events
Realized PnL
$-4,189
Win Rate
43%
50W / 67L
Profit Factor
1.28x
Avg Win
$77
Avg Loss
$-46

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,410 (0.3366912382552899% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will there be no next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?$602
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?$521
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $345 Week of July 27 2026?$288
Will France win on 2026-07-09?$241
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$225
Will LeBron's next contract average $4M-$10M per year?$203
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $236 Week of July 27 2026?$140
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $145 in July?$130
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$128
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in July?$121

Top Losers

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$-272
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $256 Week of July 27 2026?$-197
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $340 Week of July 27 2026?$-182
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$-168
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $85 in July?$-158
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?$-113
Will England win on 2026-07-11?$-106
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?$-99
Spread: England (-1.5)$-99
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.80 in July?$-98

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.173
Sortino
0.264
HHI
135
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.053
Kelly %
4.1%
Half-Kelly
2.0%
Top-1 market
7%
Top-5 markets
21.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
65.1
Very active
Markets / Day
11.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
23.8m
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.51
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.2

Bot Detection

#6
70
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 434s — normal for humanCV 1.51 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock65 trades/day — mass trading11 markets/day — mass coverage91% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.83
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.5%
Mid (20-55c)16.2%
High (>55c)74.3%

Sessions

#12
7/27/2026, 12:41:19 PM47 trades$9019 min
7/10/2026, 2:04:35 PM14 trades$5204 min
7/11/2026, 2:49:38 PM2 trades$4443 min
7/6/2026, 7:12:55 PM7 trades$3874 min
7/15/2026, 2:21:14 PM4 trades$3652 min
7/20/2026, 9:46:15 AM3 trades$3583 min
7/10/2026, 2:51:22 PM2 trades$2970 min
7/12/2026, 1:55:58 AM14 trades$2930 min
7/10/2026, 3:02:32 AM3 trades$2748 min
7/7/2026, 8:42:38 PM2 trades$2710 min
7/9/2026, 3:06:22 AM23 trades$25930 min
7/10/2026, 11:47:05 AM5 trades$2597 min
7/24/2026, 3:33:25 PM7 trades$25112 min
7/29/2026, 2:36:38 PM6 trades$2457 min
7/9/2026, 4:14:31 AM11 trades$2264 min
7/10/2026, 1:04:58 AM3 trades$2222 min
7/11/2026, 7:01:28 PM5 trades$2176 min
7/16/2026, 1:39:43 PM3 trades$2072 min
7/11/2026, 9:16:32 PM4 trades$2030 min
7/11/2026, 9:22:40 PM4 trades$2000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-06
07-11
07-15
07-18
07-22
07-25
07-28
07-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 2 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
4% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
8.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.83/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9.5 / M16.2 / H74.3