@MonacoLover

#3,073,30228

0xb8b44e3cc9e0962982e3c8bf444b6a7411f51f6e

~169d· 125 markets · 8115 tradesVol: $1,498,9372026-08-05 17:29:39
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

28
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

52% (50/96)11/20
0.62x (win $222,246 / loss $357,732)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.3350/15
Sortino -2.7890/10
$-0.1973 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 411 (96 markets)10/10
33/58 profitable days (57%)6.7/10
Max DD 1128% of peak ($208,132 / $18,446)0/10

Badges

5
DCA Master
Avg 90.1 entries/market
Whale
$686,696 invested
High Roller
$3,333/day
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

2
🏛️ POLITICS#1,642,412$-71,834Vol: $1,403,136
📈 ECONOMICS#328$23,115Vol: $95,801

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-48,719
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,498,937
Total Redeem
$12,596
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
125
total markets
Trades
4281B / 3834S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~169d

Periods

#2
Today
$268
Vol: $1,113
Week
$545
Vol: $19,790
Month
$1,838
Vol: $30,735
All Time
$-48,719
Vol: $1,498,937

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
52%
50W / 46L events
Realized PnL
$-48,719
Win Rate
52%
50W / 46L
Profit Factor
0.62x
Avg Win
$4,445
Avg Loss
$-7,777

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $112,563 (2.310438878126538% of PnL)

Top Winners

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$52,448
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$44,735
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$15,379
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$14,971
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$14,637
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$13,231
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$10,135
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$9,956
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?$6,683
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$6,066

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-63,932
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?$-40,886
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-38,625
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$-31,075
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$-21,712
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$-17,697
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$-15,951
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$-14,865
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$-14,591
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$-13,352

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.121
Sortino
-0.115
HHI
650
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.146
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.4%
Top-5 markets
40.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
39.4
Active
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
53.3m
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.74
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
8 min
Avg Trades / Session
48.3

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 104s — normal for humanCV 3.74 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock39 trades/day — high frequency0.6 markets/day — normal53% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
90.08
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)13.3%
Mid (20-55c)35.7%
High (>55c)50.9%

Sessions

#12
6/15/2026, 4:47:42 PM14 trades$64,4880 min
6/16/2026, 11:49:08 PM20 trades$43,2132 min
4/7/2026, 11:07:19 PM98 trades$26,55317 min
6/22/2026, 2:06:31 PM53 trades$22,6182 min
4/11/2026, 10:53:11 PM22 trades$21,0406 min
5/4/2026, 7:21:10 PM9 trades$19,9150 min
4/2/2026, 5:15:15 PM19 trades$19,81410 min
5/5/2026, 10:58:30 PM27 trades$18,3778 min
4/29/2026, 5:21:18 PM9 trades$17,4647 min
6/15/2026, 1:33:28 PM145 trades$15,92211 min
5/31/2026, 3:13:02 PM6 trades$13,3112 min
6/11/2026, 5:47:48 PM2 trades$13,2440 min
4/7/2026, 8:36:29 PM449 trades$12,70621 min
7/7/2026, 8:31:04 PM2 trades$12,5000 min
4/8/2026, 1:35:23 AM17 trades$12,1816 min
4/13/2026, 1:49:59 PM42 trades$11,80017 min
7/23/2026, 11:02:49 PM12 trades$11,4830 min
4/7/2026, 10:41:01 PM32 trades$11,03213 min
6/7/2026, 11:18:30 AM4 trades$10,7032 min
6/18/2026, 7:23:23 PM34 trades$10,5402 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-19
03-04
04-09
04-30
05-27
06-16
07-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 109 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
47.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 90.08/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L13.3 / M35.7 / H50.9