ImAdUmDuM

@ImAdUmDuM

#14,18162

0xba38f6073ca6434b91e9969d66d2a17d6075f74d

~258d· 633 markets · 3762 tradesVol: $651,239 @liukaiwen_2026-08-02 01:39:21
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

62
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

46% (265/582)7.8/20
1.38x (win $26,238 / loss $19,034)7.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.76514.4/15
Sortino 3.75310/10
$+0.0786 per $1 invested3.9/10
HHI 181 (582 markets)10/10
97/210 profitable days (46%)4/10
Max DD 48% of peak ($4,323 / $9,056)4.5/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+10,447
Lottery Player
40% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 5.6 entries/market
Whale
$91,678 invested
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#36,855$287Vol: $169,854
🎭 CULTURE#803,331$-419Vol: $151,804
SPORTS#5,494$9,787Vol: $132,112
🌤️ WEATHER#289,525$-179Vol: $68,043
💰 FINANCE#5,253$728Vol: $53,845
CRYPTO#1,503,629$-141Vol: $36,185
📈 ECONOMICS#645,851$-48Vol: $28,477
💻 TECH#3,226$277Vol: $9,808

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$10,368
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$651,239
Total Redeem
$16
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
633
total markets
Trades
2323B / 1439S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~258d

Periods

#2
Today
$-49
Vol: $0
Week
$941
Vol: $0
Month
$104
Vol: $8,697
All Time
$10,368
Vol: $651,239

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
46%
265W / 317L events
Realized PnL
$10,447
Win Rate
46%
265W / 317L
Profit Factor
1.38x
Avg Win
$99
Avg Loss
$-62

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $14,328 (1.3714667769348134% of PnL)

Top Winners

Spread: Brazil (-4.5)$12,624
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 38-39°F on December 28?$953
Will the government shutdown end November 12?$751
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$567
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?$497
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 40-41°F on December 28?$482
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,050 (HIGH) in June?$468
US government shutdown Saturday?$300
Will Steve Witkoff attend Trump’s Xi summit?$290
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on November 6?$255

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on January 6?$-1,500
Will the highest temperature in London be between 59-60°F on October 20?$-520
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-503
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on May 7?$-500
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?$-462
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$-379
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-377
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-370
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?$-330
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-287

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.040
Sortino
0.168
HHI
125
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.096
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.6%
Top-5 markets
15.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
12.9
Active
Markets / Day
2.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
13.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.47
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.0

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 783s — normal for humanCV 2.47 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock13 trades/day — very active2.2 markets/day — normal58% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.62
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)39.7%
Mid (20-55c)30.7%
High (>55c)29.7%

Sessions

#12
7/26/2026, 7:18:55 AM23 trades$3,1040 min
12/30/2025, 3:56:49 AM9 trades$2,8226 min
7/26/2026, 3:17:37 AM13 trades$2,2953 min
7/27/2026, 7:22:25 AM2 trades$2,1360 min
6/16/2026, 2:43:15 AM21 trades$2,0030 min
6/15/2026, 12:36:16 PM12 trades$1,9210 min
7/23/2026, 6:00:58 AM7 trades$1,7781 min
1/6/2026, 2:40:05 AM4 trades$1,6937 min
6/15/2026, 1:27:27 AM7 trades$1,5110 min
6/14/2026, 3:09:33 PM3 trades$1,4700 min
7/1/2026, 2:08:17 PM1 trades$1,4000 min
7/30/2026, 2:29:27 PM12 trades$1,3076 min
6/16/2026, 6:37:06 AM7 trades$1,2655 min
12/28/2025, 7:52:55 AM51 trades$1,16521 min
6/16/2026, 2:04:16 PM13 trades$1,1640 min
8/1/2026, 2:43:24 AM5 trades$1,1503 min
6/14/2026, 4:02:33 PM4 trades$1,1222 min
5/27/2026, 9:13:22 AM4 trades$1,1063 min
5/11/2026, 12:21:53 PM2 trades$1,1000 min
10/26/2025, 2:34:55 AM2 trades$1,0885 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-14
11-21
01-10
03-07
04-18
06-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 170 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
18% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.62/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L39.7 / M30.7 / H29.7