@roverpredicts

#3,115,99337

0xbaac4adee9e1b1eff4097ab2e2cc5a25ba22ff10

~231d· 684 markets · 5125 tradesVol: $2,630,434 @lipsa_bbt2026-09-04 13:45:50
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

37
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

68% (458/676)18.9/20
0.73x (win $88,055 / loss $120,757)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.2060/15
Sortino -2.3340/10
$-0.0307 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 38 (676 markets)10/10
120/192 profitable days (62%)8.1/10
Max DD 1280% of peak ($35,555 / $2,778)0/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 68%
DCA Master
Avg 7.7 entries/market
Whale
$1,066,507 invested
Consistent
120/192 profitable days
High Roller
$1,669/day
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
SPORTS#1,872,126$-1,933Vol: $1,387,206
🏛️ POLITICS#1,640,389$-2,310Vol: $347,779
CRYPTO#1,700,745$-4,860Vol: $336,802
🎭 CULTURE#825,961$-2,146Vol: $200,564
💰 FINANCE#665,203$-3,029Vol: $79,317
📈 ECONOMICS#683,136$-421Vol: $34,054
💻 TECH#266,722$-765Vol: $6,275
📢 MENTIONS#178,586$-1,122Vol: $3,660
🌤️ WEATHER#23,470$10Vol: $615

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-16,148
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,630,434
Total Redeem
$398
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
684
total markets
Trades
2988B / 2137S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~231d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$284
Vol: $11,699
Month
$284
Vol: $6,247
All Time
$-16,148
Vol: $2,630,434

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
68%
458W / 218L events
Realized PnL
$-16,187
Win Rate
68%
458W / 218L
Profit Factor
0.73x
Avg Win
$192
Avg Loss
$-570

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,838 (0.36068163383062574% of PnL)

Top Winners

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$2,089
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$1,980
Jazz vs. Wizards$1,769
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-08?$1,499
Grizzlies vs. Bucks$1,271
Will the government shutdown end November 13?$1,261
Mavericks vs. Hornets$1,148
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1,137
Pacers vs. Cavaliers$1,078
Spurs vs. Warriors$1,008

Top Losers

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-14,313
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?$-5,585
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?$-3,513
Will Bitcoin reach $95k in April?$-2,840
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devils$-2,816
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-08-11?$-2,784
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets$-2,430
Clippers vs. Spurs$-2,356
Heat vs. Hornets$-2,310
Spurs vs. Clippers$-2,301

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.115
Sortino
-0.086
HHI
39
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.029
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.4%
Top-5 markets
5.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
8.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
39%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.06
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.8

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 176s — normal for humanCV 2.06 — diverse sizes (human-like)39% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock8 trades/day — normal1.1 markets/day — normal67% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.73
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.2%
Mid (20-55c)7.4%
High (>55c)88.4%

Sessions

#12
3/8/2026, 9:12:15 PM11 trades$13,28819 min
4/2/2026, 12:44:31 AM24 trades$12,9557 min
3/4/2026, 2:18:27 AM12 trades$11,3808 min
11/10/2025, 11:28:18 PM2 trades$11,1080 min
3/29/2026, 9:53:58 PM3 trades$10,5093 min
3/2/2026, 3:51:05 AM3 trades$9,9645 min
11/4/2025, 6:42:19 PM4 trades$9,8195 min
3/3/2026, 2:15:51 AM11 trades$9,7836 min
11/3/2025, 10:10:25 PM4 trades$9,6354 min
3/1/2026, 4:55:35 AM7 trades$9,2531 min
3/30/2026, 8:37:43 PM8 trades$8,84812 min
2/22/2026, 4:29:10 PM1 trades$8,7270 min
2/7/2026, 6:31:27 PM2 trades$8,4892 min
3/1/2026, 5:04:53 AM27 trades$8,28527 min
2/11/2026, 9:13:11 PM3 trades$8,1367 min
4/1/2026, 1:17:33 AM7 trades$8,1343 min
3/1/2026, 2:02:43 AM28 trades$8,04510 min
2/23/2026, 12:55:34 PM1 trades$8,0000 min
3/6/2026, 4:09:39 AM24 trades$7,6358 min
2/24/2026, 10:23:26 AM1 trades$7,5000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-21
11-10
01-15
02-26
03-30
05-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 584 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
41.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.73/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.2 / M7.4 / H88.4