@pompey

#3,030,82715

0xbbae107b4e6a5827b96f82e1fa6b48f742b613f8

~36d· 53 markets · 352 tradesVol: $76,4982026-08-04 18:59:57
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

15
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

36% (8/22)3.2/20
0.09x (win $381 / loss $4,270)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -9.3850/15
Sortino -8.4920/10
$-0.2365 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 716 (22 markets)8.9/10
6/14 profitable days (43%)3.2/10
Max DD 1342% of peak ($4,201 / $313)0/10

Badges

1
Contrarian
68% entries < $0.55

Categories

2
🏛️ POLITICS#1,630,529$-3,168Vol: $73,888
🎭 CULTURE#803,807$-408Vol: $2,609

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-3,576
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$76,498
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
53
total markets
Trades
111B / 241S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~36d

Periods

#2
Today
$69
Vol: $0
Week
$28
Vol: $0
Month
$113
Vol: $0
All Time
$-3,576
Vol: $76,498

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
36%
8W / 14L events
Realized PnL
$-3,576
Win Rate
36%
8W / 14L
Profit Factor
0.09x
Avg Win
$48
Avg Loss
$-305

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $342 (0.09559282033213934% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$295
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$25
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?$22
US government shutdown by October 1?$18
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?$15
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?$2
Xi Jinping out in 2025?$2
Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?$2

Top Losers

Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?$-1,566
Will Mikie Sherrill win by less than 3%?$-566
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?$-477
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$-411
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$-316
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 6-9%?$-280
Will the Government shutdown end by November 7?$-262
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$-181
Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025$-82
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 9-12%?$-61

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.473
Sortino
-0.410
HHI
175
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.524
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.7%
Top-5 markets
22%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.18
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.7

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 143s — normal for humanCV 1.17 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — unusual hours19/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal17% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.91
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)26.1%
Mid (20-55c)42.3%
High (>55c)31.5%

Sessions

#12
7/16/2026, 3:33:07 PM64 trades$9,27620 min
7/8/2026, 3:43:49 PM71 trades$4,57614 min
7/25/2026, 4:14:28 PM18 trades$2,06910 min
5/27/2026, 5:21:00 AM10 trades$1,7461 min
7/9/2026, 12:49:44 PM24 trades$1,6989 min
5/16/2026, 1:21:22 AM25 trades$1,6313 min
2/27/2026, 9:10:57 PM1 trades$1,0680 min
7/25/2026, 4:05:18 PM13 trades$1,0674 min
10/30/2025, 6:37:01 PM4 trades$7747 min
7/8/2026, 3:37:29 PM4 trades$5870 min
10/26/2025, 1:39:37 AM3 trades$5862 min
11/10/2025, 3:49:45 AM3 trades$5604 min
5/27/2026, 5:01:24 AM7 trades$5414 min
2/3/2026, 11:12:24 PM3 trades$4992 min
3/3/2026, 9:41:29 PM1 trades$4970 min
10/22/2025, 12:32:51 AM1 trades$4820 min
10/17/2025, 11:01:49 PM1 trades$4670 min
10/28/2025, 10:12:23 PM2 trades$4203 min
11/3/2024, 4:18:23 PM1 trades$3470 min
11/1/2025, 1:53:31 AM1 trades$3240 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-03
10-01
10-26
11-02
11-05
11-10
05-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 292 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
68.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.91/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L26.1 / M42.3 / H31.5