@0xbc3e…6693
#64,419220xbc3e0e480f7f75b76b96bdc46ece11ab6f3f6693
~38d· 50 markets · 857 tradesVol: $192,0522026-08-06 07:01:54
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
22
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
44% (21/48)6.9/20
0.96x (win $12,203 / loss $12,760)2/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.2850/15
Sortino -0.3270/10
$-0.0063 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1101 (48 markets)7/10
12/22 profitable days (55%)6.1/10
Max DD 269% of peak ($8,155 / $3,032)0/10
Badges
4Profitable
PnL $+1,496
Lottery Player
44% entries < $0.20
Whale
$88,514 invested
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
Categories
6🏛️ POLITICS#1,606,600$-695Vol: $148,994
💰 FINANCE#3,674$1,198Vol: $22,207
💻 TECH#1,392$1,020Vol: $18,008
🌤️ WEATHER#264,660$-24Vol: $2,146
🎭 CULTURE#457,672$-0Vol: $621
⚽ SPORTS#1,114,555$-3Vol: $77
Overview
#1Net PnL
$1,496
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$192,052
Total Redeem
$6,455
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
50
total markets
Trades
369B / 488S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~38d
Periods
#2Today
$3
Vol: $0
Week
$-22
Vol: $3,700
Month
$-22
Vol: $3,700
All Time
$1,496
Vol: $192,052
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
44%
21W / 27L events
Realized PnL
$1,496
Win Rate
44%
21W / 27L
Profit Factor
0.96x
Avg Win
$581
Avg Loss
$-473
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,396 (3.6066573090034093% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$2,416
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$1,796
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1,184
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1,114
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$1,068
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$915
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?$791
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$641
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$409
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?$405
Top Losers
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-6,934
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?$-3,002
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?$-926
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$-748
Will voter turnout be 74–77% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$-656
Will Trump visit China by May 15?$-285
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?$-102
Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$-23
Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$-16
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?$-14
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.015
Sortino
-0.013
HHI
1698
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.005
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
31%
Top-5 markets
71.5%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
6.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.1h
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.00
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.2
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 210s — normal for humanCV 3.00 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern20/24 hours — extended activity6 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal23% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 16:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
23.29
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)44.4%
Mid (20-55c)9.2%
High (>55c)46.3%
Sessions
#124/19/2026, 7:20:40 PM3 trades$10,0500 min
4/12/2026, 7:11:19 PM8 trades$9,9830 min
6/16/2026, 6:06:07 PM18 trades$7,2480 min
4/18/2026, 12:08:40 PM4 trades$6,3900 min
6/30/2026, 10:10:14 PM3 trades$5,7670 min
5/6/2026, 4:35:46 PM18 trades$5,4203 min
5/9/2026, 3:45:38 PM12 trades$5,4152 min
7/15/2026, 1:10:10 PM6 trades$4,9770 min
4/24/2026, 8:54:28 PM45 trades$4,15415 min
4/23/2026, 9:18:30 AM8 trades$4,0001 min
4/19/2026, 7:54:14 PM2 trades$3,9400 min
8/3/2026, 5:34:18 PM5 trades$3,7001 min
7/1/2026, 1:49:41 PM2 trades$3,3860 min
3/27/2026, 12:28:03 PM2 trades$3,3171 min
4/7/2026, 8:45:45 PM20 trades$3,2543 min
3/27/2026, 3:30:55 PM2 trades$3,1930 min
4/19/2026, 4:31:26 PM17 trades$3,0915 min
6/10/2026, 11:54:52 AM24 trades$3,0561 min
5/13/2026, 8:24:37 PM4 trades$3,0230 min
4/21/2026, 2:39:04 PM8 trades$2,8471 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-27
04-11
04-18
04-21
04-27
05-12
06-16
07-15
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 18 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
56.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 23.29/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L44.4 / M9.2 / H46.3