Donkov

@Donkov

#2,65191

0xbc54e69667ceb6ccec538e5a0ba1927fc1fe680f

~795d· 1743 markets · 83326 tradesVol: $27,149,3512026-08-02 05:18:13
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

91
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

69% (1100/1588)19.6/20
3.64x (win $153,259 / loss $42,064)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.59015/15
Sortino 15.44910/10
$+0.0316 per $1 invested1.6/10
HHI 177 (1588 markets)10/10
360/494 profitable days (73%)10/10
Max DD 7% of peak ($7,688 / $116,861)10/10

Badges

11
Sniper
Win rate 69%
Profitable
PnL $+69,767
Lottery Player
57% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 35.2 entries/market
Whale
$3,517,385 invested
Consistent
360/494 profitable days
High Roller
$3,758/day
Cool Head
Max DD 7%
Win Streak
13 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
96% maker orders

Categories

9
📈 ECONOMICS#464$14,372Vol: $15,028,617
🏛️ POLITICS#1,325$37,034Vol: $9,978,400
🎭 CULTURE#1,123$7,264Vol: $997,311
💻 TECH#939$1,732Vol: $325,108
📢 MENTIONS#186$10,230Vol: $312,451
CRYPTO#32,441$890Vol: $241,209
💰 FINANCE#8,223$387Vol: $146,987
SPORTS#1,853,571$-2,056Vol: $63,039
🌤️ WEATHER#22,115$11Vol: $24,000

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$69,767
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$27,149,351
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1743
total markets
Trades
50452B / 32874S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~795d

Periods

#2
Today
$318
Vol: $18
Week
$1,896
Vol: $18
Month
$327
Vol: $9,318
All Time
$69,767
Vol: $27,149,351

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
69%
1100W / 488L events
Realized PnL
$69,767
Win Rate
69%
1100W / 488L
Profit Factor
3.64x
Avg Win
$139
Avg Loss
$-91

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $63,762 (0.9139353555541986% of PnL)

Top Winners

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$56,830
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$4,260
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July?$2,673
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?$2,462
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$2,312
US military action against Iran before July?$2,244
Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?$2,220
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?$2,082
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?$1,553
US military action against Iran in April?$1,395

Top Losers

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$-3,364
Will Joey Chestnut eat 65 or more Hot Dogs?$-2,631
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$-2,215
Israel military action against Iran before July?$-2,111
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-1,757
US military action against Iran by Monday?$-1,714
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$-1,054
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$-929
Will Black Sea ceasefire go into effect before May? $-917
Israel military action against Iran by Friday?$-820

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.083
Sortino
0.439
HHI
137
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.035
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7%
Top-5 markets
17.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
89.0
Very active
Markets / Day
1.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
15.2m
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.65
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
28 min
Avg Trades / Session
53.2

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 126s — normal for humanCV 4.65 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock89 trades/day — mass trading1.9 markets/day — normal96% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
35.24
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)57.3%
Mid (20-55c)8%
High (>55c)34.7%

Sessions

#12
1/21/2025, 1:08:47 PM9 trades$74,2207 min
11/6/2024, 9:35:37 AM141 trades$66,54669 min
9/18/2024, 5:26:22 PM74 trades$53,42234 min
10/7/2025, 1:18:52 PM490 trades$37,214103 min
1/21/2025, 10:07:55 AM10 trades$30,28015 min
1/7/2025, 8:23:41 PM2 trades$29,4301 min
1/17/2025, 2:56:55 PM154 trades$23,92486 min
1/20/2025, 6:21:27 AM16 trades$23,79212 min
1/20/2025, 4:21:17 PM2 trades$23,1561 min
3/7/2025, 4:41:35 PM53 trades$22,79946 min
10/29/2024, 5:38:44 AM5 trades$22,0097 min
1/18/2025, 4:38:58 PM33 trades$20,94825 min
9/6/2024, 5:17:21 PM28 trades$20,88724 min
11/20/2024, 5:57:31 AM283 trades$19,635139 min
4/19/2025, 2:54:58 PM75 trades$19,47966 min
4/13/2025, 7:25:59 PM5 trades$18,1020 min
9/25/2024, 5:48:55 AM188 trades$17,73750 min
1/21/2025, 10:30:03 AM9 trades$17,6784 min
9/18/2024, 4:32:07 PM18 trades$17,4278 min
11/20/2024, 4:21:35 AM251 trades$17,36883 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-10
09-11
12-18
04-12
07-30
12-10
07-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 46 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 35.24/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L57.3 / M8 / H34.7