@nicholasblankenship

#307,74861

0xbd92daf901f7b2226cd015e8e0a75ff20aae9fd8

~40d· 85 markets · 545 tradesVol: $107,7742026-09-18 10:34:34
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

61
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

39% (32/82)4.5/20
5.07x (win $112 / loss $22)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.98415/15
Sortino 55.89110/10
$+0.0186 per $1 invested0.9/10
HHI 3226 (82 markets)0/10
10/19 profitable days (53%)5.7/10
Max DD 14% of peak ($13 / $91)10/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+96
Lottery Player
53% entries < $0.20
Cool Head
Max DD 14%
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

5
SPORTS#143,802$73Vol: $99,845
🎭 CULTURE#20,472$106Vol: $7,102
CRYPTO#1,581,590$-209Vol: $551
🏛️ POLITICS#471,376$0Vol: $43
💻 TECH#109,331$0Vol: $8

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$56
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$107,774
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
85
total markets
Trades
423B / 122S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~40d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$-4
Vol: $41,356
All Time
$56
Vol: $107,774

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
39%
32W / 50L events
Realized PnL
$96
Win Rate
39%
32W / 50L
Profit Factor
5.07x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-1

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $103 (1.0702410640066502% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?$61
Will Elon tweet 700-749 times Feb 21-28?$26
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?$16
Will Elon tweet 750-799 times Feb 21-28?$5
Manchester City wins the Premier League?$1
Will Kanye launch a coin in February?$1
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$0
Will Elon tweet 135–149 times July 25–August 1?$0
Will John Curtis vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?$0
Ethereum all time high by June 30?$0

Top Losers

Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $90k first?$-5
Will Mohamed Salah be the top goalscorer in the EPL?$-4
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-4
Will Real Madrid win La Liga?$-3
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$-2
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?$-1
Will Elon Musk tweet 800 or more times February 7-14?$-1
Liverpool wins the Premier League?$-1
Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March?$-1
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.254
Sortino
2.664
HHI
1933
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.023
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
39%
Top-5 markets
71.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.11
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.0

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 69s — normal for humanCV 5.11 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal64% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.49
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)53.2%
Mid (20-55c)4.5%
High (>55c)42.3%

Sessions

#12
12/26/2025, 9:58:29 AM5 trades$1,1004 min
12/26/2025, 9:41:49 AM5 trades$1,0661 min
12/26/2025, 10:10:01 AM1 trades$8200 min
12/26/2025, 10:41:41 AM8 trades$5953 min
12/26/2025, 10:55:25 AM1 trades$5090 min
12/26/2025, 11:55:33 AM6 trades$4534 min
2/28/2025, 9:17:58 AM2 trades$4451 min
12/26/2025, 9:14:59 AM1 trades$2700 min
12/26/2025, 9:09:07 AM1 trades$2560 min
12/26/2025, 10:33:41 AM1 trades$2520 min
2/28/2025, 12:29:34 AM1 trades$2230 min
12/26/2025, 11:45:15 AM6 trades$1623 min
8/27/2026, 4:39:37 PM6 trades$1362 min
12/26/2025, 11:27:13 AM1 trades$940 min
2/28/2025, 12:16:04 AM4 trades$886 min
9/8/2026, 6:46:57 PM1 trades$700 min
2/28/2025, 8:38:54 AM1 trades$660 min
2/28/2025, 8:56:50 AM1 trades$660 min
8/27/2026, 5:58:48 PM1 trades$580 min
9/8/2026, 3:01:58 PM1 trades$540 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-12
02-10
02-20
03-23
05-03
09-30
03-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
22.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.49/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L53.2 / M4.5 / H42.3