harmongiulian

@harmongiulian

#2,767,6427

0xbda3dd1b8b4a06ab2fdd76057ae9dbd8e9ab53c7

~35d· 35 markets · 68 tradesVol: $17,2802026-09-08 22:53:26
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

7
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

20% (6/30)0/20
0.36x (win $142 / loss $388)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.1980/15
Sortino -4.6610/10
$-0.0221 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1158 (30 markets)6.7/10
5/28 profitable days (18%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($262 / $0)0/10

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#1,427,347$-29Vol: $11,714
SPORTS#1,751,353$-180Vol: $5,540
CRYPTO#694,415$0Vol: $15
🎭 CULTURE#378,631$-0Vol: $11

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-209
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$17,280
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
35
total markets
Trades
42B / 26S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~35d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-209
Vol: $17,280

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
20%
6W / 24L events
Realized PnL
$-209
Win Rate
20%
6W / 24L
Profit Factor
0.36x
Avg Win
$24
Avg Loss
$-18

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $129 (0.6182313055104575% of PnL)

Top Winners

Rockets vs. Nuggets$101
Patriots vs. Dolphins$15
Blue Jays vs. Rays$13
Mets vs. Cubs$10
Blue Jays vs. Orioles$2
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in June?$0

Top Losers

Pacers vs. Pistons$-131
Pelicans vs. Bulls$-122
Penguins vs. Canadiens$-56
Thunder vs. Lakers$-22
Who will speak more at VP Debate?$-21
Brewers vs. Padres$-14
Rays vs. Orioles$-11
Warriors vs. Grizzlies$-5
World Chess Championship 2024 Winner$-2
GOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.216
Sortino
-0.229
HHI
4
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.411
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.2%
Top-5 markets
3.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.9h
between trades
Avg Gap
8.0h
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.67
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.4

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 17722s — normal for humanCV 1.67 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern16/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal15% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.53
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)11.9%
Mid (20-55c)28.6%
High (>55c)59.5%

Sessions

#12
8/10/2026, 12:26:13 PM5 trades$2,1293 min
8/11/2026, 10:59:57 AM4 trades$2,1104 min
8/10/2026, 3:54:52 PM4 trades$2,1103 min
8/9/2026, 11:18:46 PM2 trades$1,0730 min
8/12/2026, 8:19:42 PM3 trades$1,0560 min
8/12/2026, 8:25:13 PM2 trades$1,0430 min
8/13/2026, 1:01:58 PM2 trades$1,0430 min
1/16/2025, 12:16:53 AM1 trades$1310 min
1/14/2025, 4:38:49 AM1 trades$1220 min
1/15/2025, 3:58:15 AM1 trades$1100 min
12/12/2024, 2:18:16 PM1 trades$560 min
11/29/2024, 3:05:15 PM1 trades$220 min
10/1/2024, 8:28:58 AM1 trades$210 min
9/23/2025, 9:17:16 AM2 trades$201 min
9/22/2025, 11:40:54 AM1 trades$140 min
9/16/2025, 12:27:50 PM1 trades$130 min
9/14/2025, 3:38:16 PM1 trades$130 min
4/17/2025, 7:19:25 AM2 trades$111 min
5/8/2025, 7:49:17 AM1 trades$60 min
5/8/2025, 12:13:53 PM1 trades$60 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-01
12-16
02-24
04-09
05-05
05-14
09-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38.2% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.53/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L11.9 / M28.6 / H59.5