@0xbF4d202382

#3,93940

0xbf4d202382ba5702721a8c43126f5f08163733ed

~126d· 336 markets · 23083 tradesVol: $6,521,6972026-08-02 05:25:16
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

67% (200/298)18.6/20
0.95x (win $313,181 / loss $329,831)1.9/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.2610/15
Sortino -0.3390/10
$-0.0088 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 233 (298 markets)10/10
62/92 profitable days (67%)9.3/10
Max DD 193% of peak ($146,470 / $75,884)0/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 67%
Profitable
PnL $+44,554
DCA Master
Avg 71.4 entries/market
Whale
$1,899,374 invested
Consistent
62/92 profitable days
High Roller
$14,956/day
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,087$45,995Vol: $6,379,332
📈 ECONOMICS#679,168$-1,441Vol: $126,745
SPORTS#213,428$25Vol: $12,550
🌤️ WEATHER#287,196$-131Vol: $2,366
💻 TECH#6,617$83Vol: $405
🎭 CULTURE#48,144$21Vol: $273
💰 FINANCE#89,803$3Vol: $25

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$44,554
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$6,521,697
Total Redeem
$10,611
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
336
total markets
Trades
12751B / 10332S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~126d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1,996
Vol: $17,775
Week
$-1,119
Vol: $17,775
Month
$-1,263
Vol: $103,965
All Time
$44,554
Vol: $6,521,697

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
67%
200W / 98L events
Realized PnL
$44,554
Win Rate
67%
200W / 98L
Profit Factor
0.95x
Avg Win
$1,566
Avg Loss
$-3,791

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $101,586 (2.2800731607739206% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?$57,590
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$22,269
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$21,728
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$17,877
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$17,084
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?$16,819
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$15,181
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?$13,481
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$10,384
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?$9,665

Top Losers

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$-73,151
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$-63,740
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$-33,766
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$-26,616
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-24,115
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$-15,000
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?$-10,062
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?$-7,964
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$-6,093
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$-6,009

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.014
Sortino
-0.011
HHI
184
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.009
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.8%
Top-5 markets
20.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
181.8
Very active
Markets / Day
2.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
15.6m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.49
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
11 min
Avg Trades / Session
38.9

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 108s — normal for humanCV 3.49 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock182 trades/day — automation2.6 markets/day — normal57% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
71.42
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.8%
Mid (20-55c)19.8%
High (>55c)70.4%

Sessions

#12
6/15/2026, 7:44:57 AM75 trades$41,13312 min
5/2/2026, 5:09:42 PM27 trades$35,3864 min
5/11/2026, 10:15:27 PM22 trades$35,2843 min
6/14/2026, 11:29:51 PM47 trades$35,18715 min
6/15/2026, 8:28:16 AM56 trades$32,3922 min
4/25/2026, 1:31:50 PM57 trades$30,43915 min
6/15/2026, 10:03:45 AM10 trades$28,8831 min
6/9/2026, 2:36:00 PM125 trades$26,20627 min
6/13/2026, 8:23:54 AM33 trades$24,85014 min
6/14/2026, 8:59:36 PM25 trades$23,8267 min
6/19/2026, 11:07:43 PM99 trades$23,01820 min
5/23/2026, 3:57:42 AM4 trades$22,8565 min
4/16/2026, 3:42:44 PM24 trades$20,7804 min
4/30/2026, 4:01:22 AM68 trades$20,18914 min
5/7/2026, 2:55:25 AM30 trades$18,9496 min
6/10/2026, 1:48:31 PM35 trades$17,7222 min
6/25/2026, 7:09:34 PM64 trades$17,06016 min
5/7/2026, 1:20:50 PM33 trades$16,8154 min
6/14/2026, 9:26:12 PM53 trades$16,0024 min
6/15/2026, 12:25:06 AM43 trades$15,87415 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-30
04-14
05-05
06-11
06-26
07-14
07-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 16 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
44.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 71.42/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9.8 / M19.8 / H70.4