@predict008

#3,070,06615

0xbfba06280db29761d681f3257b1fa283441c583c

~51d· 1594 markets · 14107 tradesVol: $1,711,5702026-08-04 19:18:33
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

15
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

32% (492/1547)0.9/20
0.92x (win $121,018 / loss $132,024)1.5/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.3460/15
Sortino -1.9400/10
$-0.0399 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 90 (1547 markets)10/10
20/51 profitable days (39%)2.3/10
Max DD 205% of peak ($26,877 / $13,133)0/10

Badges

5
Contrarian
52% entries < $0.55
Whale
$276,018 invested
High Roller
$5,412/day
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
SPORTS#1,883,731$-33,987Vol: $1,419,339
CRYPTO#21,905$1,805Vol: $244,587
🏛️ POLITICS#1,455,677$-46Vol: $15,587
💻 TECH#237,965$-25Vol: $4,462
💰 FINANCE#628,811$-85Vol: $1,434
📈 ECONOMICS#621,607$-18Vol: $1,099
🌤️ WEATHER#218,814$-3Vol: $190
🎭 CULTURE#453,010$-0Vol: $28
📢 MENTIONS#111,997$-5Vol: $17

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-32,790
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,711,570
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1594
total markets
Trades
6008B / 8099S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~51d

Periods

#2
Today
$903
Vol: $19,139
Week
$704
Vol: $40,219
Month
$364
Vol: $60,018
All Time
$-32,790
Vol: $1,711,570

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
32%
492W / 1054L events
Realized PnL
$-32,739
Win Rate
32%
492W / 1054L
Profit Factor
0.92x
Avg Win
$246
Avg Loss
$-136

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $17,065 (0.5212432694622046% of PnL)

Top Winners

Exact Score: Algeria 3 - 3 Austria?$8,475
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4,344
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?$4,246
Spread: England (-1.5)$4,196
Exact Score: Türkiye 3 - 2 United States?$2,882
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$2,791
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5$2,695
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?$2,340
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?$2,238
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?$2,103

Top Losers

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$-10,839
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?$-5,388
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?$-4,097
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?$-3,834
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?$-3,533
Exact Score: Any Other Score?$-2,892
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 5.5$-2,558
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. ÍF Vestri: O/U 4.5$-2,486
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?$-2,329
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score$-2,231

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.070
Sortino
-0.099
HHI
147
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.036
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.3%
Top-5 markets
17.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
276.6
Very active
Markets / Day
31.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
12.1m
between trades
Night Trading
30%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.80
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
16 min
Avg Trades / Session
31.8

Bot Detection

#6
70
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 135s — normal for humanCV 4.81 — diverse sizes (human-like)30% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock277 trades/day — automation31 markets/day — mass coverage43% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.04
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)24.2%
Mid (20-55c)28%
High (>55c)47.8%

Sessions

#12
6/29/2026, 6:52:41 PM55 trades$19,97721 min
7/4/2026, 10:15:50 PM31 trades$19,2715 min
6/27/2026, 10:57:20 AM15 trades$11,6281 min
6/24/2026, 3:24:19 AM120 trades$11,59344 min
7/5/2026, 9:20:29 PM55 trades$10,93433 min
7/15/2026, 8:39:16 PM35 trades$9,99610 min
6/27/2026, 10:50:07 PM53 trades$9,45020 min
6/25/2026, 2:01:11 AM154 trades$7,93258 min
6/28/2026, 1:09:08 AM70 trades$7,64837 min
7/4/2026, 6:17:05 PM8 trades$7,6451 min
7/14/2026, 8:02:19 PM18 trades$7,5825 min
6/26/2026, 7:13:07 PM60 trades$7,53335 min
6/28/2026, 1:52:43 AM94 trades$6,97558 min
7/15/2026, 9:39:20 AM13 trades$6,61710 min
7/15/2026, 1:53:19 PM14 trades$6,0477 min
7/18/2026, 10:25:45 PM2 trades$5,8820 min
7/6/2026, 2:59:05 AM18 trades$5,7995 min
6/27/2026, 4:37:47 AM47 trades$5,47732 min
7/18/2026, 11:02:16 PM6 trades$5,3170 min
6/19/2026, 9:49:25 AM15 trades$5,08712 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-15
06-23
07-01
07-09
07-17
07-25
08-02
08-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 19 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
57.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.04/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L24.2 / M28 / H47.8