Arkgetsu

@Arkgetsu

#19,94192

0xc091e508990090861a6cff1734b641cf2bd4e7d0

~129d· 96 markets · 1040 tradesVol: $406,033 @Arkgetsu2026-10-08 03:04:06
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

92
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

89% (71/80)20/20
35.45x (win $13,865 / loss $391)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 6.35015/15
Sortino 211.56810/10
$+0.0584 per $1 invested2.9/10
HHI 616 (80 markets)9.4/10
40/46 profitable days (87%)10/10
Max DD 2% of peak ($236 / $13,474)10/10

Badges

9
Sniper
Win rate 89%
Profitable
PnL $+12,623
DCA Master
Avg 9.0 entries/market
Whale
$230,682 invested
Consistent
40/46 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 2%
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
93% maker orders

Categories

2
₿ CRYPTO#6,912$6,832Vol: $401,111
🏛️ POLITICS#0$0Vol: $4,922

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$6,832
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$406,033
Total Redeem
$14,475
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
96
total markets
Trades
676B / 364S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~129d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1,586
Vol: $0
Week
$-788
Vol: $0
Month
$-3,078
Vol: $14,177
All Time
$6,832
Vol: $406,033

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
89%
71W / 9L events
Realized PnL
$12,623
Win Rate
89%
71W / 9L
Profit Factor
35.45x
Avg Win
$195
Avg Loss
$-65

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $7,275 (0.5763709376507673% of PnL)

Top Winners

USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?$5,085
Aztec FDV above $800M one day after launch?$1,179
Kinetiq FDV above $500M one day after launch?$1,011
Aztec FDV above $500M one day after launch?$895
Will Infrared launch a token by December 31 2025?$875
VOOI FDV above $300M one day after launch?$698
Harmonix FDV above $25M one day after launch?$684
Aztec FDV above $1B one day after launch?$618
Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2026?$308
Harmonix FDV above $50M one day after launch?$281

Top Losers

Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31? $-195
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$-99
Fluent FDV above $200M one day after launch?$-38
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?$-36
Fluent FDV above $300M one day after launch?$-22

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.329
Sortino
4.459
HHI
387
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.066
Kelly %
77.9%
Half-Kelly
38.9%
Top-1 market
11.2%
Top-5 markets
36.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.92
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.3

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 446s — normal for humanCV 2.92 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal93% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.03
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1%
Mid (20-55c)14.1%
High (>55c)84.9%

Sessions

#12
3/26/2026, 6:18:15 AM4 trades$13,2187 min
3/18/2026, 1:45:35 PM1 trades$12,9610 min
4/3/2026, 2:01:43 PM9 trades$10,7251 min
1/31/2026, 3:38:04 AM2 trades$10,4495 min
11/9/2025, 6:01:29 PM1 trades$9,9800 min
11/14/2025, 6:55:00 AM1 trades$9,9700 min
11/10/2025, 2:02:47 AM1 trades$9,9600 min
3/1/2026, 1:50:59 PM1 trades$9,9600 min
5/29/2026, 5:15:37 PM12 trades$9,9001 min
11/17/2025, 1:20:47 AM1 trades$9,5320 min
2/12/2026, 11:45:17 AM2 trades$6,6150 min
2/19/2026, 8:03:34 AM2 trades$5,9880 min
11/8/2025, 8:10:33 AM1 trades$5,7830 min
11/17/2025, 9:33:53 AM9 trades$5,16612 min
11/16/2025, 11:27:31 PM1 trades$4,9800 min
5/30/2026, 9:12:55 AM4 trades$4,6801 min
2/7/2026, 9:03:05 PM1 trades$4,1840 min
11/18/2025, 7:01:55 AM1 trades$4,0830 min
2/4/2026, 1:47:52 AM1 trades$4,0520 min
7/31/2024, 5:09:27 PM6 trades$3,9984 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-31
11-09
11-26
12-05
12-23
03-13
04-08

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 10 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.03/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1 / M14.1 / H84.9