@newbees
#17,352780xc1355f88441c00dde5c6be5254d101d2d624a01a
~312d· 6181 markets · 25168 tradesVol: $806,2462026-08-04 21:39:07
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
78
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
15% (928/6181)0/20
2.79x (win $38,113 / loss $13,662)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.30115/15
Sortino 42.78810/10
$+0.6956 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 18 (6181 markets)10/10
181/294 profitable days (62%)7.9/10
Max DD 2% of peak ($535 / $24,551)10/10
Badges
5Profitable
PnL $+8,158
Lottery Player
79% entries < $0.20
Consistent
181/294 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 2%
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
8🌤️ WEATHER#222$8,612Vol: $690,745
🎭 CULTURE#10,214$331Vol: $48,910
₿ CRYPTO#1,543,284$-221Vol: $37,487
🏛️ POLITICS#1,088,927$-4Vol: $11,810
💰 FINANCE#28,361$42Vol: $9,062
⚽ SPORTS#1,806,669$-595Vol: $6,798
📈 ECONOMICS#73,050$3Vol: $1,175
💻 TECH#25,223$5Vol: $155
Overview
#1Net PnL
$8,158
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$806,246
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
6181
total markets
Trades
19925B / 5243S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~312d
Periods
#2Week
$3
Vol: $341
Month
$2
Vol: $347
All Time
$8,158
Vol: $806,246
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
15%
928W / 5253L events
Realized PnL
$8,158
Win Rate
15%
928W / 5253L
Profit Factor
2.79x
Avg Win
$41
Avg Loss
$-3
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $20,970 (2.570558584709528% of PnL)
Top Winners
XRP Up or Down - March 20, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$9,990
Ethereum Up or Down - March 20, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$9,990
XRP Up or Down - March 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$990
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on April 27?$444
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?$389
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on March 22?$342
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on February 11?$328
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 5°C on February 27?$306
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$303
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 14?$275
Top Losers
Will AS Steenvoorde win on 2025-11-16?$-198
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$-182
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?$-171
Will AC Cambrai vs. Entente Feignies Aulnoye FC end in a draw?$-152
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 79-80°F on October 7?$-125
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 14?$-121
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on February 24?$-121
Will the highest temperature in London be between 61-62°F on November 12?$-116
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on March 23?$-99
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on April 1?$-98
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.068
Sortino
1.459
HHI
21
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.696
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.3%
Top-5 markets
5.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
47.6
Active
Markets / Day
11.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.71
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
94.9
Bot Detection
#645
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 320s — normal for humanCV 2.71 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock48 trades/day — high frequency12 markets/day — mass coverage23% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 13:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
4.07
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)79.1%
Mid (20-55c)10.9%
High (>55c)10%
Sessions
#124/27/2026, 7:00:04 AM123 trades$1,9121 min
4/26/2026, 9:31:14 AM149 trades$1,7380 min
4/27/2026, 3:30:18 AM270 trades$1,2212 min
1/2/2026, 4:44:11 PM155 trades$85010 min
4/1/2026, 4:52:57 PM101 trades$7984 min
4/2/2026, 12:49:59 PM162 trades$7936 min
2/27/2026, 1:00:33 PM7 trades$7520 min
4/2/2026, 1:01:37 PM35 trades$7223 min
2/11/2026, 3:54:33 PM77 trades$71617 min
5/12/2026, 7:59:45 AM122 trades$6201 min
4/2/2026, 9:20:33 PM314 trades$61511 min
4/25/2026, 9:00:26 AM62 trades$6060 min
4/1/2026, 7:07:57 PM113 trades$5801 min
4/24/2026, 3:31:22 PM75 trades$5802 min
4/2/2026, 5:22:57 PM59 trades$5744 min
4/4/2026, 11:00:23 AM70 trades$5682 min
4/2/2026, 12:31:05 PM53 trades$5181 min
3/8/2026, 1:23:35 PM114 trades$4972 min
4/3/2026, 12:53:25 PM69 trades$4954 min
3/7/2026, 1:02:45 PM1 trades$4940 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-20
07-03
10-01
12-12
02-06
03-27
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 10 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
74% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
20.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.07/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L79.1 / M10.9 / H10