Polydata

@PolyJaguar

#27,15248

0xc18b10a8d864d1d2ef71a58259eb810d52173917

~211d· 905 markets · 12955 tradesVol: $1,368,079 @CJaguar2026-07-31 15:26:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

48
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

47% (298/635)8.5/20
1.19x (win $14,715 / loss $12,345)4.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.4859.1/15
Sortino 1.32810/10
$+0.0381 per $1 invested1.9/10
HHI 290 (635 markets)10/10
79/175 profitable days (45%)3.8/10
Max DD 89% of peak ($7,265 / $8,142)0/10

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+4,591
Lottery Player
64% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 13.0 entries/market
Whale
$62,198 invested
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
93% maker orders

Categories

9
💰 FINANCE#3,358$1,329Vol: $447,513
🏛️ POLITICS#53,214$143Vol: $371,883
CRYPTO#19,762$2,085Vol: $258,522
SPORTS#36,234$1,068Vol: $107,067
📈 ECONOMICS#591,428$-8Vol: $43,106
🌤️ WEATHER#246,777$-11Vol: $42,531
🎭 CULTURE#780,792$-100Vol: $40,424
📢 MENTIONS#116,198$-5Vol: $36,645
💻 TECH#40,393$1Vol: $81

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$4,580
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,368,079
Total Redeem
$401
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
905
total markets
Trades
10417B / 2538S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~211d

Periods

#2
Today
$4
Vol: $5,963
Week
$-244
Vol: $26,595
Month
$1,020
Vol: $133,100
All Time
$4,580
Vol: $1,368,079

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
47%
298W / 337L events
Realized PnL
$4,591
Win Rate
47%
298W / 337L
Profit Factor
1.19x
Avg Win
$49
Avg Loss
$-38

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $8,817 (1.9206888589738567% of PnL)

Top Winners

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$6,184
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$1,616
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$1,017
Will Pump.fun dip to $0.0014 by December 31, 2026?$800
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$424
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?$388
Will the price of XRP be above $2.00 on January 3?$325
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,050 (HIGH) in June?$310
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?$223
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?$179

Top Losers

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in June?$-1,223
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?$-633
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?$-613
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?$-406
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$-356
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?$-355
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?$-351
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?$-337
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?$-270
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?$-258

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.025
Sortino
0.056
HHI
141
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.051
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.8%
Top-5 markets
18.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
61.4
Very active
Markets / Day
4.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
27.1m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.67
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
9 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.1

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 478s — normal for humanCV 3.67 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock61 trades/day — mass trading4.3 markets/day — normal93% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
12.99
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)63.6%
Mid (20-55c)9.7%
High (>55c)26.7%

Sessions

#12
6/6/2026, 10:02:48 AM10 trades$5,4600 min
5/9/2026, 8:23:30 AM4 trades$1,1761 min
7/8/2026, 3:21:46 AM1 trades$1,0900 min
4/2/2026, 4:27:19 PM11 trades$1,0289 min
6/11/2026, 4:46:30 PM5 trades$1,0114 min
4/22/2026, 2:40:36 PM6 trades$78810 min
4/1/2026, 1:26:21 PM52 trades$67937 min
4/28/2026, 2:39:50 PM7 trades$5488 min
3/6/2026, 4:17:45 PM23 trades$51244 min
4/24/2026, 2:11:00 AM2 trades$5010 min
4/28/2026, 2:30:08 AM10 trades$5000 min
4/29/2026, 12:04:44 PM1 trades$4690 min
4/29/2026, 9:39:42 AM4 trades$4620 min
4/28/2026, 10:23:56 PM2 trades$4380 min
6/2/2026, 1:27:28 AM2 trades$4370 min
5/15/2026, 11:44:12 AM14 trades$4326 min
3/31/2026, 4:25:49 PM49 trades$41823 min
4/13/2026, 10:09:53 AM42 trades$41729 min
4/4/2026, 8:17:51 AM74 trades$41424 min
4/17/2026, 12:48:26 PM11 trades$4116 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-02
02-01
03-06
04-08
05-11
06-15
07-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 31 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
19.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.99/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L63.6 / M9.7 / H26.7