@markdicebets

#3,021,20617

0xc1aeb668d943d7bcd15f64b36feb907c004985aa

~16d· 17 markets · 341 tradesVol: $60,1132026-08-04 21:04:00
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

17
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

50% (6/12)10/20
0.21x (win $1,037 / loss $4,992)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -9.6640/15
Sortino -8.7470/10
$-0.4706 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1839 (12 markets)3.3/10
3/7 profitable days (43%)3.2/10
Max DD 794% of peak ($4,524 / $570)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
34% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 25.2 entries/market

Categories

3
₿ CRYPTO#1,646,104$-1,921Vol: $34,622
💰 FINANCE#653,575$-914Vol: $21,895
📈 ECONOMICS#652,965$-65Vol: $3,596

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,900
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$60,113
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
17
total markets
Trades
196B / 145S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~16d

Periods

#2
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-2,900
Vol: $60,113

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
50%
6W / 6L events
Realized PnL
$-2,900
Win Rate
50%
6W / 6L
Profit Factor
0.21x
Avg Win
$173
Avg Loss
$-998

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $948 (0.32699627637567236% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?$395
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$381
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?$172
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$72
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$15
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$2

Top Losers

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$-3,203
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$-750
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$-506
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$-387
Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$-146

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.468
Sortino
-0.416
HHI
2542
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.431
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
38.6%
Top-5 markets
90.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.15
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
48
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.1

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 72s — normal for humanCV 3.15 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — normal pattern15/24 hours — normal schedule2 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal55% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
25.17
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)34.2%
Mid (20-55c)33.7%
High (>55c)32.1%

Sessions

#12
6/16/2026, 1:27:17 PM43 trades$3,3518 min
7/29/2026, 11:02:39 PM8 trades$1,9960 min
6/16/2026, 2:14:29 PM42 trades$1,83815 min
7/29/2026, 10:47:21 PM7 trades$1,3000 min
6/20/2026, 12:36:13 PM17 trades$1,0672 min
4/10/2026, 9:44:13 PM19 trades$1,0545 min
7/30/2026, 12:29:44 AM45 trades$7500 min
6/19/2026, 3:21:43 PM15 trades$7290 min
6/16/2026, 1:20:59 PM4 trades$4650 min
7/29/2026, 8:17:21 PM8 trades$4450 min
4/30/2026, 9:10:50 PM2 trades$4080 min
6/16/2026, 8:14:14 PM8 trades$32014 min
6/19/2026, 3:10:53 PM23 trades$3146 min
7/29/2026, 9:28:17 PM2 trades$2880 min
3/21/2026, 11:49:51 PM2 trades$2011 min
7/4/2026, 5:11:07 PM2 trades$2000 min
7/29/2026, 10:03:42 PM12 trades$1490 min
3/19/2026, 7:31:55 PM1 trades$1110 min
3/19/2026, 5:23:55 PM1 trades$1010 min
3/11/2026, 5:06:13 PM1 trades$1000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-21
04-10
06-16
06-19
06-20
07-29
07-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 44 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 25.17/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L34.2 / M33.7 / H32.1