BTCG33K

@BTCG33K

#3,087,0260

0xc1bb1332380958f0a33d998c58d034943743a95d

~41d· 94 markets · 337 tradesVol: $160,3582026-08-24 09:37:11
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

20% (18/88)0/20
0.12x (win $371 / loss $2,980)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.5040/15
Sortino -5.3070/10
$-0.1969 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 5610 (88 markets)0/10
7/22 profitable days (32%)0.5/10
Max DD 17858% of peak ($2,623 / $15)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
58% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
CRYPTO#1,693,580$-7,270Vol: $155,905
🏛️ POLITICS#1,470,349$-50Vol: $2,408
📢 MENTIONS#165,633$-95Vol: $1,224
🎭 CULTURE#612,150$-3Vol: $369
💰 FINANCE#622,945$-48Vol: $239
📈 ECONOMICS#611,974$-12Vol: $196
🌤️ WEATHER#189,788$-1Vol: $18

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-7,478
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$160,358
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
94
total markets
Trades
178B / 159S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~41d

Periods

#2
Today
$40
Vol: $0
Week
$40
Vol: $0
Month
$-4,555
Vol: $29,062
All Time
$-7,478
Vol: $160,358

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
20%
18W / 70L events
Realized PnL
$-7,187
Win Rate
20%
18W / 70L
Profit Factor
0.12x
Avg Win
$21
Avg Loss
$-43

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $320 (0.04446383200171427% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?$146
Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during the Armenian PM bilateral on August 8?$98
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?$76
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7?$12
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin August 26-September 1?$10
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 5?$7
Will Diddy be sentenced to no prison time?$5
Will MicroStrategy hold 630k+ BTC by August 31?$4
Bitcoin above $110.5K on August 26 at 4PM ET?$3
Will anyone say "Roadmap" during the OpenAI livestream on August 7?$3

Top Losers

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?$-1,914
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?$-570
Ethereum Up or Down on August 8?$-63
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?$-51
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during September press conference?$-47
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?$-35
South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested by August 31?$-32
Will JD Vance say "America" or "American" 45+ times during remarks in Wisconsin on August 28?$-30
XRP Up or Down on August 8?$-25
Will Trump say "Crime" 10+ times during the DC Crime Press Conference?$-25

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.281
Sortino
-0.239
HHI
249
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.632
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14.4%
Top-5 markets
25%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.1h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.41
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.4

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 604s — normal for humanCV 3.41 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal5% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.25
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)58.4%
Mid (20-55c)35.4%
High (>55c)6.2%

Sessions

#12
7/16/2026, 12:33:37 PM4 trades$6,9415 min
7/16/2026, 4:28:38 PM12 trades$5,8630 min
8/19/2026, 10:12:54 PM2 trades$5,6910 min
6/29/2026, 10:05:46 PM2 trades$5,2630 min
4/14/2026, 5:52:58 PM41 trades$5,1610 min
4/22/2026, 1:38:32 PM19 trades$3,2900 min
8/18/2026, 4:50:10 PM7 trades$3,2730 min
8/17/2026, 3:53:13 PM11 trades$3,2660 min
4/8/2026, 1:55:09 PM7 trades$2,5370 min
4/8/2026, 1:38:21 PM5 trades$2,2790 min
6/29/2026, 5:20:43 PM6 trades$2,0250 min
8/20/2026, 11:40:18 AM11 trades$1,7050 min
7/19/2026, 11:02:06 AM19 trades$1,6270 min
8/20/2026, 3:59:31 PM6 trades$1,0951 min
3/31/2026, 1:09:33 PM1 trades$1,0520 min
1/31/2026, 6:44:34 PM1 trades$8410 min
1/25/2026, 6:33:14 PM1 trades$3940 min
2/6/2026, 10:49:55 PM1 trades$3670 min
1/20/2026, 3:07:34 PM3 trades$3170 min
2/12/2026, 1:55:55 PM1 trades$2360 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-01
08-07
08-10
08-14
08-27
09-17
01-25
06-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 325 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
47.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.25/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L58.4 / M35.4 / H6.2